Tukums 2000 vs Liepāja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Tukums 2000 - Liepāja
Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 20
Tukums 2000 - Liepāja - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.102.32
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
422
Shots on target
211
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
77% (288/375)83% (395/474)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.102.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.352.71
Total shots
422
Shots on target
211
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
216
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1044
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
77% (288/375)83% (395/474)
Long passes
39% (24/61)65% (53/81)
Passes in final third
61% (62/102)72% (104/145)
Crosses
19% (3/16)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.561.50
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1714
Tackles
80% (8/10)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.710.35
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Iljins K. ,
  • 20', Joksts H. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Patijcuks D. ,
  • 36', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joksts H. , Kirss R. ,
  • 46', Kacanovs G. , Kholod A. ,
  • 46', Sirbu D. , Putrans D. ,
  • 46', Bekima B. , Dusalijevs N. ,
  • 50', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
  • 64', Putrans D. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Putrans D. , Kholod A. (A),
  • 73', Lausic M. , Purtic S. ,
  • 73', Traore A. , Melnis B. ,
  • 73', Samba T. , Diaw M. ,
  • 77', Melnis B. 🟨,
  • 80', Valmiers D. 🟨,
  • 85', Valmiers D. , Rogovs D. ,
  • 85', Leidsman K. , Gueye D. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Gueye D. , Melnis B. (A),
  • 90+2', Patijcuks D. , Oloko E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tukums 2000
22%
Draw
23%
Liepāja
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 23.1% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 21.8% 58.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Tukums 2000 - Liepāja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (4.1)
    3.98
    (3.8)
    1.66
    (1.58)
    9.4%
    (14%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Liepāja?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liepāja: 73.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.
    • Tukums 2000 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Liepāja is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Liepāja is the team to beat.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Liepāja were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - Liepāja 2:2
    12.03.2025 Liepāja - Tukums 2000 0:0
    01.09.2024 Liepāja - Tukums 2000 3:1
    20.06.2024 Tukums 2000 - Liepāja 2:1
    02.05.2024 Tukums 2000 - Liepāja 0:0
    Latest results of Tukums 2000
    17.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 1:1
    13.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga 2:4
    31.05.2025 Riga - Tukums 2000 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - RFS 2:5
    Latest results of Liepāja
    21.06.2025 Liepāja - Metta LU 1:0
    17.06.2025 Super Nova - Liepāja 1:3
    13.06.2025 Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils 1:1
    30.05.2025 Jelgava - Liepāja 0:1
    24.05.2025 Liepāja - Auda Riga 0:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC20163148:123651
    2RFS21161451:193249
    3FK Liepaja21105635:31435
    4Auda2094730:23731
    5BFC Daugavpils2175930:40-1026
    6Jelgava2066819:20-124
    7Grobina21541220:41-2119
    8Super Nova2039825:30-518
    9Tukums 200020361120:39-1915
    10Metta20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

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