Tukums 2000 vs Jelgava: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Tukums 2000 - Jelgava
Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 18
Tukums 2000 - Jelgava - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.95
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
74% (308/414)63% (149/236)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.39
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1923
Passes
74% (308/414)63% (149/236)
Long passes
34% (21/61)41% (29/71)
Passes in final third
48% (57/119)46% (40/87)
Crosses
37% (10/27)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.88
Throw-ins
3627
Fouls
2319
Tackles
67% (8/12)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5257
Clearances
3043
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.390.57
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Kirss R. 🟨,
  • 30', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
  • 38', Ullman O. 🟥,
  • 39', Becers R. , Purs V. ,
  • 43', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Promise V. ,
  • 52', Promise V. 🟨,
  • 55', Valmiers D. , Rogovs D. ,
  • 58', Boroduska E. 🟨,
  • 65', Promise V. , Petersons A. ,
  • 65', Kholod A. , Kacanovs G. ,
  • 65', Kirss R. , Bekima B. ,
  • 65', Semesko M. , Joksts H. ,
  • 79', Emenike K. , Campos I. ,
  • 83', Volkovs K. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Pulis I. , Rogovs D. (A),
  • 85', Volkovs K. , Sirbu D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tukums 2000
29%
Draw
26.5%
Jelgava
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 23.5% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 22.9% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tukums 2000's performance.
  • Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelgava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tukums 2000 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelgava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tukums 2000 - Jelgava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (3.93)
    3.48
    (3.88)
    2.07
    (1.71)
    8.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Jelgava?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Jelgava will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jelgava: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 2.
    • Tukums 2000 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jelgava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jelgava is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Jelgava were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 2:1
    15.09.2024 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 3:3
    26.06.2024 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 0:0
    07.05.2024 Tukums 2000 - Jelgava 2:1
    17.03.2024 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 2:3
    Latest results of Tukums 2000
    13.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga 2:4
    31.05.2025 Riga - Tukums 2000 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tukums 2000 - RFS 2:5
    21.05.2025 Grobiņa - Tukums 2000 2:0
    16.05.2025 Super Nova - Tukums 2000 1:1
    Latest results of Jelgava
    13.06.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:1
    30.05.2025 Jelgava - Liepāja 0:1
    25.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava 1:0
    21.05.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 0:0
    15.05.2025 Jelgava - Auda Riga 3:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC20163148:123651
    2RFS20151444:182646
    3FK Liepaja2095633:31232
    4Auda2094730:23731
    5BFC Daugavpils2075829:33-426
    6Jelgava2066819:20-124
    7Grobina20541120:39-1919
    8Super Nova2039825:30-518
    9Tukums 200020361120:39-1915
    10Metta20351217:40-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

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