Truro City vs Morecambe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English National League
Soccer English National League Truro City - Morecambe
Result
5:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : National League - Round 12
Truro City - Morecambe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
102
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
102
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
40
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Riley-Lowe C. ⚽, Dean W. (A),
  • 31', Kacurri M. 🟨,
  • 42', Kacurri M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sangare M. ↓, Sesay A. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Jephcott L. ⚽, Riley-Lowe C. (A),
  • 57', Azeez M. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
  • 58', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,
  • 58', Nolan J. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Johnson-Fisher D. ⚽, Riley-Lowe C. (A),
  • 68', Aarons R. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
  • 74', Payne L. 🟨,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Jephcott L. ⚽, Bell Z. (A),
  • 80', Rooney D. ↓, Kite H. ↑,
  • 80', Johnson-Fisher D. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
  • 89', Dean W. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↑,
  • 89', Donnellan S. ↓, Sanogo S. ↑,
  • 89', Bell Z. ↓, Kinsey M. ↑,
  • 90+4', Marsh A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 5 - 0, Marsh A. ⚽, Kinsey M. (A),

Chances of winning


Truro City
42.5%		Draw
26.5%		Morecambe
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.2% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 27% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.
  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Truro City - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.18 ↓
    (2.6)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.25)    		 3.01 ↑
    (2.5)    		 7.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Truro City - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Truro will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Truro City
    23.09.2025 Brackley Town - Truro City 1:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Scunthorpe United - Truro City 4:0
    16.09.2025 Truro City - Fulham U21 1:0
    13.09.2025 Truro City - Rochdale 0:1
    06.09.2025 Carlisle United - Truro City 3:0
    Latest results of Morecambe
    24.09.2025 Morecambe - Halifax Town 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Morecambe - Wealdstone 4:3
    13.09.2025 Solihull Moors - Morecambe 4:4 ✺
    06.09.2025 Boreham Wood - Morecambe 3:0 ✺
    02.09.2025 Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers 1:3 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    5Scunthorpe1274121:101125
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1122715:33-188

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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