Result
2:1
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (571/649) | 79% (223/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (571/649) | 79% (223/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (113/155) | 67% (54/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 5 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Toure A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Hein G. ⚽, Gueye I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Sane S. 🟨,
- 65', El Idrissy M. ↓, de Preville N. ↑,
- 65', Gozzi P. ↓, Boura I. ↑,
- 65', Chavalerin X. ↓, M'Changama Y. ↑,
- 72', Said R. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 80', Phliponeau A. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Jallow A. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
- 86', Jallow A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
- 87', Sabaly C. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 87', Gueye I. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, de Preville N. ⚽,
- 90+3', Toure A. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
- 90+6', Kouao K. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Metz
55% | Draw
26.9% | Troyes
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Metz - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.72) |
3.5 ↑
(3.47) |
5.2 ↑
(4.93) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Metz - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
Metz will win
(25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 2.
- Metz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Troyes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Metz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Metz: Lo A.
(Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Injury)
Nduquidi J.
(Inactive)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M.
(Injury)
Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Metz to win the game is with odds 1.69.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Metz won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Troyes?
Metz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Metz?
Troyes has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Troyes were as follows:
20.12.2024
Troyes
-
Metz
3:0
28.09.2024
Troyes
-
Metz
2:1
22.07.2023
Troyes
-
Metz
0:3
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Reims | Bye | |
| 3 | Metz | Bye | |
| 4 | Dunkerque | Guingamp | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Reims | Bye | |
| 2 | Metz | Dunkerque | 1 : 0 |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Metz - Troyes?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
