Troyes vs Guingamp: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Troyes - Guingamp
Result
0:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
Troyes - Guingamp - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.06
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
157
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
71
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
53
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1511
Offsides
00
Fouls
1115
Yellow Cards
20
Throw-ins
2318
Touches in the Opposition Box
2022
Passes
84% (392/467)85% (392/460)
Passes in the final third
75% (101/134)75% (79/106)
Crosses
25% (5/20)6% (1/17)
Tackles
72% (13/18)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
1227
Interceptions
1211

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Said R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Labeau B. ,
  • 62', de Preville N. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 65', Ghrieb R. , Picard H. ,
  • 65', Labeau B. , Hemia A. ,
  • 75', M'Changama Y. , Chavalerin X. ,
  • 75', Diop M. , Assoumou J. ,
  • 77', Siwe J. , Mendes J. A. ,
  • 77', Le Bris T. , Sagna A. ,
  • 84', Mendes H. , Ba P. I. ,
  • 84', Said R. , Balde T. ,
  • 90+6', El Idrissy M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Troyes
37.7%
Draw
30.6%
Guingamp
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 30.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 29.3% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Troyes - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.29)
    3.06
    (3.12)
    2.98
    (3.25)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: Troyes will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
    • Recent matches Troyes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guingamp is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M. (Injury) Boura I. (Yellow Cards) El Idrissy M. (Injury) Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Demouchy A. (Inactive) Guendouz S. (Injury) Luvambo T. (Injury) Ndour A. (Injury) Ourega D. (Inactive) Planeix I. (Knee Injury) Sagna A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Akpakoun T. (Injury) Balde T. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Troyes won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:16 (average 0.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Guingamp were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Guingamp - Troyes 4:0
    02.03.2024 Guingamp - Troyes 0:0
    25.11.2023 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Paris FC - Troyes 1:0
    14.02.2025 Troyes - Lorient 0:1
    07.02.2025 Martigues - Troyes 1:2
    Latest results of Guingamp
    07.03.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 3:1
    01.03.2025 Red Star - Guingamp 3:1
    25.02.2025 Cannes - Guingamp 3:1
    21.02.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 1:1
    15.02.2025 Guingamp - Metz 0:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Guingamp?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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