Troyes vs Guingamp: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Troyes - Guingamp
Result
5:2
20/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
Troyes - Guingamp - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.65
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
86% (368/426)89% (509/574)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.471.62
Total shots
188
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
86% (368/426)89% (509/574)
Long passes
55% (24/44)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
80% (118/147)75% (85/113)
Crosses
8% (1/13)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.64
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
1310
Tackles
73% (8/11)57% (17/30)
Duels won
3557
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
1316
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.623.47
Goals prevented
-0.38-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Hatchi J. , Hemia A. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Diop M. , Adeline M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 1, Boura I. ,
  • 38', 3 - 1, Assoumou J. , Boura I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 4 - 1, Ifnaoui M. ,
  • 61', Ott G. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 61', Hemia A. , Kielt S. ,
  • 61', N'Landu D. , Sidibe K. ,
  • 61', Hatchi J. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 69', Louiserre D. , Ahile T. ,
  • 71', Bentayeb T. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 71', Adeline M. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 77', Titi Y. , Ouzenadji A. ,
  • 77', Assoumou J. , Odede E. ,
  • 80', 5 - 1, El Idrissy M. ,
  • 81', Diop M. , Gambor H. ,
  • 84', 5 - 2, Kielt S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mphk6tnz

Chances of winning


Troyes
48.9%
Draw
25.6%
Guingamp
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.6% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Troyes - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.15)
    3.74
    (3.3)
    3.69
    (3.25)
    4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Guingamp?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Troyes will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.
    • Troyes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guingamp has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Troyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Troyes is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Muscle Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Maronnier L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Guingamp were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    16.08.2024 Guingamp - Troyes 4:0
    02.03.2024 Guingamp - Troyes 0:0
    25.11.2023 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    12.09.2025 Troyes - Nancy 3:0
    29.08.2025 Dunkerque - Troyes 2:0
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0
    15.08.2025 Clermont - Troyes 0:0
    09.08.2025 Troyes - Grenoble 2:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4
    16.08.2025 Reims - Guingamp 1:0
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes861117:71019
    2St Etienne852117:10717
    3Pau FC852113:7617
    4Reims842212:9314
    5Red Star741212:7513
    6Guingamp841314:17-313
    7Montpellier83238:8011
    8Nancy83238:9-111
    9Rodez83237:10-311
    10Clermont82428:10-210
    11Dunkerque823316:1429
    12Amiens823311:12-19
    13Le Mans82339:10-19
    14Annecy82249:12-38
    15Laval81437:11-47
    16Grenoble81346:10-46
    17Boulogne72055:9-46
    18Bastia80354:11-73

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Guingamp?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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