Tranmere Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra
Result
2:0
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.23
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
73% (222/304)72% (192/267)
Yellow Cards
61
Red Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.980.00
Total shots
164
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
73% (222/304)72% (192/267)
Long passes
39% (24/62)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
68% (135/199)43% (24/56)
Crosses
24% (5/21)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.15
Throw-ins
2335
Fouls
1315
Tackles
70% (7/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5642
Clearances
3930
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.001.98
Goals prevented
0.00-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Davies T. , Hendry R. (A),
  • 26', Tabiner J. , Agius C. ,
  • 30', Dennis K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Saunders H. , Davison J. ,
  • 66', Long Ch. , Hemmings K. ,
  • 68', Lowery T. 🟥,
  • 72', Lunt O. , Sanders M. H. ,
  • 80', Morris K. , Jennings C. ,
  • 84', Hendry R. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Dennis K. , Patrick O. (A),
  • 90', Patrick O. , Bradshaw Z. ,
  • 90', Dennis K. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 90+2', Hendry R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Williams Z. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Thibaut A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Davison J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McGee L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
50.3%
Draw
26.4%
Crewe Alexandra
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 26% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tranmere Rovers's performance.
  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crewe Alexandra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crewe Alexandra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.28)
    3.52
    (3.45)
    4.07
    (2.95)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tranmere Rovers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.
    • Recent matches Tranmere is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Crewe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Tranmere will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Drysdale D. (Injury) Khan S. (Inactive) Solomon S. (Injury) Walker B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Lankester J. (Injury) Robinson N. (Inactive) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Norman C. (Injury) Norris L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 3:1
    03.02.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    14.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 2:0
    01.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 1:0
    18.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1AFC Wimbledon (5)Walsall (4)1 : 0
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