Result
10/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
KalPa
48.6% | Draw
23.1% | TPS
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
KalPa - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.85) |
4.05 ↑
(4.03) |
3.35 ↓
(3.56) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
- KalPa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- TPS's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KalPa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:39. (average 2.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against TPS?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against KalPa?
TPS has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - TPS were as follows:
20.09.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
0:3
12.03.2025
KalPa
-
TPS
1:0
15.01.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
3:2
20.11.2024
TPS
-
KalPa
1:3
21.09.2024
KalPa
-
TPS
5:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35:19 | 21 |
| 2 | JYP | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 40:28 | 21 |
| 3 | Kiekko-Espoo | 12 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 35:33 | 21 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 41:40 | 19 |
| 5 | Tappara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35:24 | 18 |
| 6 | Lukko | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31:30 | 17 |
| 7 | Jukurit | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:31 | 17 |
| 8 | SaiPa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 38:31 | 17 |
| 9 | Karpat | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39:35 | 16 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:20 | 16 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26:28 | 16 |
| 12 | KalPa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30:35 | 13 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 21:34 | 10 |
| 15 | Ilves | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27:39 | 9 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19:37 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
Which TV channels are streaming of KalPa - TPS?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
