Toulon vs Toulouse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Toulon - Toulouse
10/05/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toulon - Toulouse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toulon 69.1%Draw 4.3%Toulouse 26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Toulon 69%Draw 4.4%Toulouse 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Toulon 65.3%Draw 4.2%Toulouse 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • The chances for Toulouse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Toulon - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.35)
    21
    (21)
    3.59
    (3.5)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium./
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 2.
    • Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toulouse is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toulon is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Toulon will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 355:472. (average 17.8:23.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 230:166. (average 23:16.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Toulouse were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 18:21
    27.10.2024 Toulouse - Toulon 57:5
    20.04.2024 Toulon - Toulouse 20:19
    23.12.2023 Toulouse - Toulon 25:17
    18.02.2023 Toulon - Toulouse 17:6
    Latest results of Toulon
    26.04.2025 Vannes - Toulon 29:19
    19.04.2025 Toulon - Clermont 31:24
    13.04.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 18:21
    05.04.2025 Toulon - Saracens 72:42
    29.03.2025 Castres - Toulon 28:26
    Latest results of Toulouse
    04.05.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse 35:18
    26.04.2025 Toulouse - Castres 52:6
    20.04.2025 Stade Français - Toulouse 21:27
    13.04.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 18:21
    06.04.2025 Toulouse - Sale Sharks 38:15
    French Top 14 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain221615728:36479
    2Bordeaux Begles221507632:47969
    3RC Toulonnais221408606:49267
    4Aviron Bayonnais221309549:55158
    5Castres Olympique221129520:57153
    6Clermont2210012536:55048
    7Stade Rochelais2210111484:54148
    8Lyon2210210581:57248
    9Montpellier2210012522:48747
    10Racing 92229112577:60045
    11Section Paloise229013544:62744
    12Stade Francais Paris228014507:64036
    13USA Perpignan227213379:52536
    14Vannes227114546:71235

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

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