Nice vs Toulouse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Nice - Toulouse
Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 1
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
Nice - Toulouse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.53
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
85% (400/469)84% (306/364)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.35
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2832
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
85% (400/469)84% (306/364)
Long passes
43% (12/28)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)69% (72/104)
Crosses
30% (7/23)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.91
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1213
Tackles
59% (10/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
2343
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.350.17
Goals prevented
-0.650.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Canvot J. 🟨,
  • 51', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 65', Sauer M. 🟨,
  • 68', Edjouma N. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 68', Sauer M. , Vossah A. ,
  • 75', Magri F. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 76', Moffi T. , Nguene B. ,
  • 76', Bouanani B. , Diop S. ,
  • 76', Jansson I. , Boga J. ,
  • 77', Louchet T. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 79', Nguene B. 🟨,
  • 82', Methalie D. , Nicolaisen R. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Sidibe D. , Hidalgo S. (A),
  • 90+1', Peprah K. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 90+4', Boudaoui H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
46%
Draw
28.1%
Toulouse
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 25% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 25% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nice - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.73)
    3.43
    (3.79)
    3.73
    (4.65)
    4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nice - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 60%90%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • Nice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toulouse is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nice might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Casseres C. (Yellow Cards) Francis A. (Injury) Messali R. (Inactive) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Toulouse were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Toulouse - Nice 1:1
    25.08.2024 Nice - Toulouse 1:1
    03.03.2024 Toulouse - Nice 2:1
    26.11.2023 Nice - Toulouse 1:0
    21.05.2023 Nice - Toulouse 0:0
    Latest results of Nice
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    02.08.2025 Stuttgart - Toulouse 4:0
    30.07.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse 2:1
    26.07.2025 RB Leipzig - Toulouse 7:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lille321011:477
    3Lyon22004:046
    4Lens32015:326
    5Strasbourg22002:026
    6Toulouse32016:606
    7Marseille21015:323
    8Monaco21013:213
    9Nice21013:213
    10Angers21011:103
    11Nantes31021:2-13
    12Auxerre31022:4-23
    13Lorient31025:8-33
    14Rennes21011:4-33
    15Brest30124:8-41
    16Le Havre20022:5-30
    17Paris FC20022:6-40
    18Metz20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nice - Toulouse?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass, Prime Video Sportsbar
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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