Toulouse vs Brest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Brest
Result
2:4
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
Toulouse - Brest - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
84% (354/421)79% (297/378)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.272.72
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
4216
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
84% (354/421)79% (297/378)
Long passes
47% (16/34)33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
70% (93/133)54% (32/59)
Crosses
37% (11/30)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.53
Fouls
1018
Tackles
58% (7/12)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5755
Clearances Total
1632
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.721.27
Goals prevented
-1.28-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Bourgault J. ,
  • 24', Lala K. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Pereira Lage M. , Doumbia K. (A),
  • 28', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Bourgault J. , Zogbe L. ,
  • 46', Messali R. , Babicka S. ,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Doumbia K. ,
  • 64', Balde M. , Del Castillo R. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Sierro V. , Gboho Y. (A),
  • 68', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
  • 71', Suazo G. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 74', Doumbia K. , Fernandes E. ,
  • 78', Casseres C. , Zajc M. ,
  • 78', 2 - 3, King J. , Cresswell C. (A),
  • 86', Bizot M. 🟨,
  • 87', Zogbe L. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 4, Camara M. , Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 90+4', Sidibe D. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 90+4', Donnum A. , Canvot J. ,

Chances of winning


Toulouse 46.8%Draw 28.3%Brest 25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Toulouse 46.9%Draw 28.6%Brest 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Toulouse 48.2%Draw 27.8%Brest 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Toulouse - Brest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.04)
    3.36
    (3.34)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    4.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Brest?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Toulouse will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Magri F. (Yellow Cards) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Chardonnet B. (Chest Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Del Castillo R. (Knee Injury) Haidara M. (Red Card) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Magnetti H. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Hamstring Injury) Restes G. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Brest were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Brest - Toulouse 2:0
    19.05.2024 Toulouse - Brest 0:3
    08.10.2023 Brest - Toulouse 1:1
    02.04.2023 Brest - Toulouse 3:1
    15.01.2023 Toulouse - Brest 1:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1
    02.03.2025 Angers - Toulouse 0:4
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4
    09.02.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 2:2
    Latest results of Brest
    09.03.2025 Brest - Angers 2:0
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1
    26.02.2025 Brest - Dunkerque 2:3
    23.02.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 0:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Brest?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Ultra
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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