Brive vs Toulon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Brive - Toulon
07/01/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Brive - Toulon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Brive
43.9%
Draw
4.4%
Toulon
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 4.4% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 4.3% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brive - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.25)
    21
    (20)
    1.78
    (1.55)
    8.5%
    (14%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brive - Toulon were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Toulon - Brive 47:0
    Latest results of Brive
    31.12.2022 Lyon - Brive 27:30
    23.12.2022 Brive - Clermont 20:16
    16.12.2022 Brive - Connacht 24:31
    10.12.2022 Cardiff Rugby - Brive 41:0
    03.12.2022 Bordeaux Bègles - Brive 33:13
    Latest results of Toulon
    31.12.2022 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 23:18
    22.12.2022 Toulon - Lyon 21:3
    17.12.2022 Toulon - Bath 29:7
    10.12.2022 Zebre - Toulon 21:24
    04.12.2022 Toulon - Racing Métro 14:31
    French Top 14 Table
    Main
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain261817891:46291
    2Bordeaux Begles261709762:60978
    3RC Toulonnais2615011680:59572
    4Aviron Bayonnais2615110632:65068
    5Clermont2613013674:62763
    6Castres Olympique2613211626:65863
    7Stade Rochelais2613112617:63562
    8Section Paloise2613013682:71961
    9Racing 922611213710:72057
    10Montpellier2612014623:60956
    11Lyon2610214675:72250
    12Stade Francais Paris2610016597:75545
    13USA Perpignan269215469:64744
    14Vannes267118661:89136

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

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