Toulon vs Aviron Bayonnais: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais
Result
39:19
23/11/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 10
Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
51
Conversion Goals
41
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
24
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (17 - 13)
  • 6', Drean G. (Try),
  • 6', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 13', Drean G. (Try),
  • 13', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
  • 29', Segonds J. (Try),
  • 29', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (22 - 6)
  • 44', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 47', Smaili M. (Try),
  • 47', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 53', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
  • 56', Cassiem U. 🟨,
  • 62', Serin B. (Try),
  • 67', Drean G. (Try),
  • 67', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Toulon
74.7%
Draw
3.7%
Aviron Bayonnais
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 4.5% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 3.4% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulon's performance.
  • Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aviron Bayonnais could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.33)
    24.99
    (20.41)
    4.23
    (3.53)
    8.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais?
    The most likely score is 31:20. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulon won 3.
    • Recent matches Toulon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayonne is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Toulon is a favorite.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Toulon won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 534:279 (average 29.7:15.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toulon won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 326:113 (average 32.6:11.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais were as follows:
    31.03.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 10:46
    26.08.2023 Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais 19:14
    31.12.2022 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 23:18
    03.09.2022 Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais 40:25
    Latest results of Toulon
    02.11.2024 Toulon - Lyon 21:10
    27.10.2024 Toulouse - Toulon 57:5
    19.10.2024 Toulon - Montpellier 30:17
    12.10.2024 Racing Métro - Toulon 22:6
    06.10.2024 Clermont - Toulon 19:18
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    French Top 14 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain231715778:38084
    2Bordeaux Begles231508659:52569
    3RC Toulonnais231409622:54267
    4Aviron Bayonnais231319573:57560
    5Castres Olympique221129520:57153
    6Montpellier2311012568:51452
    7Stade Rochelais2311111514:57052
    8Lyon2310211608:60149
    9Clermont2210012536:55048
    10Section Paloise2310013573:65448
    11Racing 92239212601:62447
    12USA Perpignan238213399:54340
    13Stade Francais Paris238015525:66037
    14Vannes237115575:74236

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFranceCANAL+ Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
    worldWorldFloSports app
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