Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton
Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 31
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.04
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
89% (419/472)89% (413/466)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.430.44
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2524
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2016
Passes
89% (419/472)89% (413/466)
Long passes
46% (18/39)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
78% (92/118)82% (113/138)
Crosses
13% (2/15)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.57
Fouls
1620
Tackles
65% (11/17)62% (18/29)
Duels won
4855
Clearances Total
1416
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.443.43
Goals prevented
-0.560.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Johnson B. , Spence D. (A),
  • 26', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Johnson B. , Maddison J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Son Heung-Min , Odobert W. ,
  • 57', Bentancur R. , Sarr P. M. ,
  • 60', Porro P. 🟨,
  • 64', Aribo J. , Smallbone W. ,
  • 64', Manning R. , Welington ,
  • 73', Dibling T. , Sugawara Y. ,
  • 73', Archer C. , Onuachu P. ,
  • 80', Bergvall L. , Gray A. ,
  • 80', Maddison J. , Bissouma Y. ,
  • 83', Ugochukwu L. , Stewart R. ,
  • 87', Solanke D. , Tel M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Fernandes M. , Sulemana K. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Tel M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tottenham Hotspur
69.7%
Draw
17.6%
Southampton
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.3% 18.2% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 16% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tottenham Hotspur that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.43)
    5.45
    (5.29)
    7.67
    (6.64)
    3.9%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 2.
    • Tottenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tottenham is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Tottenham: Danso K. (Thigh Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Downes F. (Yellow Cards) Fraser R. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tottenham: Richarlison (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Larios J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onuachu P. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Groin Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 49:28 (average 2.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur 0:5
    18.03.2023 Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur 3:3
    Latest results of Tottenham Hotspur
    Latest results of Southampton
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 36258383:374683
    2Arsenal361814466:333368
    3Newcastle362061068:452366
    4Chelsea37199963:432066
    5Aston Villa37199958:49966
    6Manchester City36198967:432465
    7Nottingham361881056:441262
    8Brentford361671363:531055
    9Brighton361413959:56355
    10Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    11Fulham361491351:50151
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton369151239:44-542
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3610101642:59-1740
    16Manchester Utd371091842:54-1239
    17Tottenham371152163:61238
    18Ipswich ✔ 364102235:77-4222
    19Leicester ✔ 36572431:78-4722
    20Southampton ✔ 36262825:82-5712

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
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