Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs
Result
5:6 OT
02/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3433
Shots off Goal
1416
Shooting PCT
14.71% (5/34)18.18% (6/33)
Blocked Shots
1913
Goalkeeper Saves
2729
Saves PCT
81.82% (27/33)85.29% (29/34)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)50% (1/2)
Hits
1323
Faceoffs Won
2633
Faceoffs %
44.0755.93
Giveaways
2117
Takeaways
71
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 2)
  • 02:15, 0 - 1, Domi M. (G), McMann B. (A), Robertson N. (A2)
  • 04:39, 0 - 2, Timmins C. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 10:27, 1 - 2, Glass C. (G), Shea R. (A), Lizotte B. (A2)
  • 11:29, 2 - 2, Rakell R. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
  • 13:08, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 13:50, 3 - 2, Crosby S. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Rust B. (A2)
  • 15:45, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 04:08, 3 - 3, Matthews A. (G), Knies M. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 08:01, Letang K. (2 min),
  • 15:36, 4 - 3, Rust B. (G), Crosby S. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
  • 19:04, 4 - 4, Tavares J. (G), McCabe J. (A),
  • 19:59, 4 - 5, Knies M. (G),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 00:10, 5 - 5, Rakell R. (G), Letang K. (A), Shea R. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 01:00, 5 - 6, Nylander W. (G), Rielly M. (A), Matthews A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Penguins
27.5%
Draw
20.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 21.8% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 21.5% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.28)
    4.57
    (4.38)
    1.8
    (1.94)
    6.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Pittsburgh is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Toronto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Pittsburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Pittsburgh have a series of home games.
    • Recently Toronto have a series of guest games.
    • Toronto will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Bunting M. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Dewar C. (Upper-Body Injury) Hakanpaa J. (Lower-Body Injury) Pacioretty M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Jarnkrok C. (Groin Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Toronto to win the game is with odds 1.82.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 55:61 (average 2.8:3.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:29 (average 3.7:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2
    12.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:2
    08.04.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:2
    16.12.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 7:0
    25.11.2023 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:2
    NHL Table
    Pre-season

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Buffalo Sabres220006:14
    2Montreal Canadiens211006:34
    3Tampa Bay Lightning211005:34
    4Toronto Maple Leafs210106:63
    5Detroit Red Wings110003:22
    6Ottawa Senators201016:62
    7Boston Bruins201017:92
    8Florida Panthers200023:100


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Nashville Predators3201012:65
    2Colorado Avalanche220008:34
    3Dallas Stars202005:34
    4Minnesota Wild201105:53
    5Winnipeg Jets200114:61
    6St. Louis Blues200112:61
    7Chicago Blackhawks100012:30
    8Utah Mammoth300034:140


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    2Los Angeles Kings220006:24
    3Calgary Flames311017:64
    4San Jose Sharks110003:02
    5Anaheim Ducks210017:42
    6Seattle Kraken210016:72
    7Vancouver Canucks100013:50
    8Vegas Golden Knights200021:60


    Metropolitan Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1New York Rangers210109:83
    2Washington Capitals110005:22
    3New Jersey Devils210019:72
    4Philadelphia Flyers201015:62
    5Columbus Blue Jackets310025:72
    6Pittsburgh Penguins100101:21
    7New York Islanders200114:91
    8Carolina Hurricanes100011:20

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