Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators
Result
2:3 OT
23/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL - Pre-season
Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3341
Shots off target
817
Shooting PCT
6.06% (2/33)7.32% (3/41)
Blocked Shots
1017
Goalkeeper Saves
3831
Saves PCT
92.68% (38/41)93.94% (31/33)
Penalties
35
PIM
610
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)80% (4/5)
Hits
3422
Faceoffs Won
3225
Faceoffs %
56.1443.86
Giveaways
1414
Takeaways
13
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:24, 1 - 0, Matthews A. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 17:04, Pinto S. (2 min),
  • 18:23, 2 - 0, McMann B. (G), Cowan E. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:32, Cowan E. (2 min),
  • 08:15, Hodgson H. (2 min),
  • 17:35, Hodgson H. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:01, Merilainen L. , Shepard H. ,
  • 00:01, Hildeby D. , Akhtyamov A. ,
  • 01:10, Cozens D. (2 min),
  • 06:19, Halliday S. (2 min),
  • 07:33, 2 - 1, Zetterlund F. (G), Sebrango D. (A), Cozens D. (A2)
  • 09:00, Lorentz S. (2 min),
  • 16:27, Laughton S. (2 min),
  • 17:58, 2 - 2, Pinto S. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:16, 2 - 3, Pinto S. (G), Amadio M. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
59.5%
Draw
18.3%
Ottawa Senators
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 20% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Maple Leafs's performance.
  • Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ottawa Senators might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.86)
    5.05
    (4.71)
    4.31
    (3.21)
    5.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
  • What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: Toronto Maple Leafs will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:65. (average 2.9:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 2.7:3.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    01.05.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4
    29.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 0:4
    26.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    24.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3
    NHL Table
    Pre-season

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Buffalo Sabres220006:14
    2Montreal Canadiens211006:34
    3Tampa Bay Lightning211005:34
    4Toronto Maple Leafs210106:63
    5Detroit Red Wings110003:22
    6Ottawa Senators201016:62
    7Boston Bruins201017:92
    8Florida Panthers200023:100


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Nashville Predators3201012:65
    2Colorado Avalanche220008:34
    3Dallas Stars202005:34
    4Minnesota Wild201105:53
    5Winnipeg Jets200114:61
    6St. Louis Blues200112:61
    7Chicago Blackhawks100012:30
    8Utah Mammoth300034:140


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    2Los Angeles Kings220006:24
    3Calgary Flames311017:64
    4San Jose Sharks110003:02
    5Anaheim Ducks210017:42
    6Seattle Kraken210016:72
    7Vancouver Canucks100013:50
    8Vegas Golden Knights200021:60


    Metropolitan Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1New York Rangers210109:83
    2Washington Capitals110005:22
    3New Jersey Devils210019:72
    4Philadelphia Flyers201015:62
    5Columbus Blue Jackets310025:72
    6Pittsburgh Penguins100101:21
    7New York Islanders200114:91
    8Carolina Hurricanes100011:20

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