Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs
Result
2:4
01/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2223
Shots off target
1217
Shooting PCT
9.09% (2/22)17.39% (4/23)
Blocked Shots
1511
Goalkeeper Saves
1920
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)90.91% (20/22)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
0% (0/1)100% (2/2)
Hits
5643
Faceoffs Won
1827
Faceoffs %
4060
Giveaways
1023
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:48, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 18:01, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
  • 18:50, 0 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Marner M. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:43, 0 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Pacioretty M. (A),
  • 07:28, 1 - 2, Tkachuk B. (G), Chabot T. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 10:33, Rielly M. (2 min),
  • 12:40, 2 - 2, Perron D. (G), Chabot T. (A),
  • 14:21, 2 - 3, Pacioretty M. (G), Domi M. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
  • 19:41, 2 - 4, Nylander W. (G), Laughton S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ottawa Senators
40.3%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 23.7% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 24.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.35)
    4.11
    (4.02)
    2.57
    (2.65)
    5.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ottawa Senators will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Toronto Maple Leafs leads series 3-2. 6th leg./
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Hodgson H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Hakanpaa J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:54. (average 3.4:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 2.8:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 0:4
    26.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    24.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3
    22.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 3:2
    20.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 6:2
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    9New Jersey Devils000000:00
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    11Ottawa Senators000000:00
    12Philadelphia Flyers000000:00
    13Tampa Bay Lightning000000:00
    14Toronto Maple Leafs000000:00
    15Washington Capitals000000:00
    16New York Rangers000000:00

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