New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs
Result
4:3 OT
03/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2522
Shots off target
2018
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
1921
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)84% (21/25)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
2119
Faceoffs Won
2630
Faceoffs %
46.4353.57
Giveaways
1719
Takeaways
62
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 07:18, Barzal M. (2 min),
  • 10:50, Pulock R. (2 min),
  • 10:50, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 11:52, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:10, 1 - 0, Pelech A. (G), Drouin J. (A),
  • 09:30, 1 - 1, Matthews A. (G),
  • 17:19, 1 - 2, Matthews A. (G), McMann B. (A), Domi M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 11:10, 2 - 2, Schaefer M. (G), Drouin J. (A), Pageau J. (A2)
  • 12:12, 2 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Roy N. (A),
  • 17:15, 3 - 3, Heineman E. (G), Barzal M. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:11, 4 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), Barzal M. (A), Heineman E. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Islanders
38.4%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 22.1% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 21.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.35)
    4.14
    (4.4)
    2.45
    (2.65)
    5.2%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs?
    • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 30.4%86.2%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
    • NY Islanders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Horvat B. (Lower-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Sorokin I. (Lower-Body Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:59. (average 2.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 3.3:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    02.01.2025 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    31.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:1
    21.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:6
    05.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 2:3
    11.01.2024 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5534399212:13883
    2Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    3Dallas Stars57286914193:16077
    4Vegas Golden Knights572071416191:17968
    5Utah Mammoth57237423183:15764
    6Edmonton Oilers58217822198:19464
    7Seattle Kraken56216920162:16563
    8Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    9Los Angeles Kings561491419146:16160
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    13Winnipeg Jets56202826160:17552
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks57126633149:21042


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning55289414199:14078
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    6Buffalo Sabres57266619195:17670
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    10Washington Capitals59245723189:17765
    11Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    12Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    13Philadelphia Flyers561871120167:18061
    14Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    15New Jersey Devils571810227146:17558
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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