Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens
Result
5:2
08/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2830
Shots off target
815
Shooting PCT
17.86% (5/28)6.67% (2/30)
Blocked Shots
1317
Goalkeeper Saves
2823
Saves PCT
93.33% (28/30)88.46% (23/26)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
3728
Faceoffs Won
3722
Faceoffs %
62.7137.29
Giveaways
1213
Takeaways
23
Empty Net Goals
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:00, 1 - 0, McMann B. (G), Nylander W. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
  • 05:08, Laine P. (2 min),
  • 05:39, 1 - 1, Kapanen O. (G),
  • 12:44, Nylander W. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:30, 1 - 2, Bolduc Z. (G), Gallagher B. (A), Dach K. (A2)
  • 05:40, 2 - 2, Jarnkrok C. (G), Rielly M. (A), Lorentz S. (A2)
  • 13:38, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)
  • 05:06, Demidov I. (2 min),
  • 09:02, 3 - 2, Rielly M. (G), Knies M. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 18:28, 4 - 2, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 19:45, 5 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Lorentz S. (A), Tavares J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
48.9%
Draw
21.9%
Montreal Canadiens
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 21.3% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.99)
    4.33
    (4.5)
    3.2
    (3.18)
    6%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
    • Toronto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Montreal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Laughton S. (Lower-Body Injury) Woll J. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Bolduc Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Demidov I. (Wrist Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 72:39. (average 3.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 2:4
    25.09.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7
    12.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 1:0
    18.01.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7
    09.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 4:1
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche4301013:87
    2Dallas Stars3210015:106
    3Vegas Golden Knights4112014:136
    4Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    5Seattle Kraken311109:75
    6Nashville Predators4201112:125
    7Winnipeg Jets3200112:94
    8Anaheim Ducks3110112:124
    9St. Louis Blues320019:94
    10Minnesota Wild4110215:154
    11Chicago Blackhawks4101210:113
    12Los Angeles Kings4011212:163
    13Vancouver Canucks310028:92
    14Utah Mammoth301025:72
    15San Jose Sharks3002110:162
    16Calgary Flames401039:162


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes3210015:76
    2Boston Bruins4210113:96
    3Montreal Canadiens4210115:126
    4Florida Panthers4300113:106
    5Washington Capitals421019:76
    6New Jersey Devils3200111:114
    7Detroit Red Wings3200110:104
    8Toronto Maple Leafs4200217:154
    9Pittsburgh Penguins4200211:134
    10New York Rangers5200310:74
    11Philadelphia Flyers310119:83
    12Tampa Bay Lightning4101213:163
    13Columbus Blue Jackets3100210:92
    14Ottawa Senators310028:142
    15New York Islanders300037:130
    16Buffalo Sabres300032:100

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