Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames
17/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2925
Shots off Goal
918
Shooting PCT
20.69% (6/29)8% (2/25)
Blocked Shots
1023
Goalkeeper Saves
2323
Saves PCT
92% (23/25)79.31% (23/29)
Penalties
54
PIM
108
Power-play Goals
30
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
75% (3/4)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)25% (1/4)
Hits
1930
Faceoffs Won
3715
Faceoffs %
71.1528.85
Giveaways
189
Takeaways
55
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:47, 1 - 0, Domi M. (G), Benoit S. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
  • 03:44, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 09:10, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 19:13, 1 - 1, Andersson R. (G), Huberdeau J. (A), Pospisil M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (4 - 0)
  • 00:09, Kadri N. (2 min),
  • 01:39, 2 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Marner M. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
  • 01:53, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 09:34, 3 - 1, Robertson N. (G), Domi M. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
  • 14:46, (2 min),
  • 15:41, 4 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 18:09, Pachal B. (2 min),
  • 18:54, 5 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Knies M. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:01, Wolf D. , Vladar D. ,
  • 03:03, 6 - 1, McMann B. (G), Rielly M. (A), Jarnkrok C. (A2)
  • 12:47, Weegar M. (2 min),
  • 12:47, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 12:47, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 19:12, 6 - 2, Bahl K. (G), Hunt D. (A), Sharangovich Y. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
52.2%
Draw
21.4%
Calgary Flames
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 21.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 20.2% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Maple Leafs's performance.
  • Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calgary Flames might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto Maple Leafs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calgary Flames could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.12)
    4.45
    (4.5)
    3.53
    (2.84)
    5.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 5.
    • Toronto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Calgary is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Calgary could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Toronto will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toronto won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 61:53 (average 3.1:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:25 (average 2.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:6
    18.01.2024 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    10.11.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames 5:4
    02.03.2023 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    10.12.2022 Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames 5:4
    Latest results of Calgary Flames
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Washington Capitals (1)Montreal Canadiens (8)4 : 1
    2Carolina Hurricanes (4)New Jersey Devils (7)4 : 1
    3Toronto Maple Leafs (2)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 2
    4Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Florida Panthers (5)1 : 4
    5Winnipeg Jets (1)St. Louis Blues (8)4 : 3
    6Dallas Stars (3)Colorado Avalanche (5)4 : 3
    7Vegas Golden Knights (2)Minnesota Wild (7)4 : 2
    8Los Angeles Kings (4)Edmonton Oilers (6)2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Washington Capitals (1)Carolina Hurricanes (4)1 : 4
    2Toronto Maple Leafs (2)Florida Panthers (5)3 : 4
    3Winnipeg Jets (1)Dallas Stars (3)2 : 4
    4Vegas Golden Knights (2)Edmonton Oilers (6)1 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Carolina Hurricanes (4)Florida Panthers (5)
    2Dallas Stars (3)Edmonton Oilers (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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