Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II
Result
2:3 penalties
20/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.32
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
83% (409/495)83% (353/423)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.52
Total shots
216
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
100
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
164
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
508
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
510
Passes
83% (409/495)83% (353/423)
Long passes
51% (22/43)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
76% (165/217)51% (23/45)
Crosses
44% (7/16)67% (2/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.52
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
115
Tackles
76% (13/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
831
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.521.04
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Bossenberry A. , Fortier T. (A), Ayari H. (A2)
  • 14', 1 - 1, LeBlanc K. , Davis E. (A), Olivas S. (A2)
  • 45', 2 - 1, Griffin J. , Sullivan C. (A), Olivas S. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 2, Sullivan M. , Bossenberry A. (A), Fortier T. (A2)
  • 61', Olivas S. , Anderson M. ,
  • 64', Nugent J. , Barrow D. ,
  • 72', Probst N. , Soria L. ,
  • 72', LeBlanc K. , Korzeniowski S. ,
  • 75', Chukwu R. , McDonald P. ,
  • 75', Kapor S. , Fisher M. ,
  • 81', Sullivan C. , Ferreira W. ,
  • 81', Davis E. , Jakupovic M. ,
  • 81', Fortier T. , Olguin L. ,
  • 81', Edwards N. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 90+1', Barrow D. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, McDonald P. (Pen),
  • 1, Korzeniowski S. (Pen),
  • 2, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Pierre N. (Pen),
  • 3, Fisher M. (Pen),
  • 3, Anderson M. (Pen),
  • 4, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 4, Jakupovic M. (Pen),
  • 5, Ayari H. (Pen),
  • 5, Ferreira W. (Pen),
  • 6, Fisher R. (Pen),
  • 6, Griffin J. (Pen),
  • 7, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
  • 7, Uzcategui R. (Pen),
  • 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
  • 8, Soria L. (Pen),
  • 9, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
  • 9, Pariano N. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union II
64.2%
Draw
19.4%
Toronto FC II
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 19.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 18.8% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.47)
    4.83
    (4.73)
    5.72
    (5.07)
    6.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Philadelphia II has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia II is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 42:26. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 3.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II 5:0
    18.08.2024 Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II 4:2
    30.06.2024 Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II 0:4
    17.03.2024 Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II 2:1
    08.09.2023 Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II 5:3
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II236041335:5722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II236041335:5722
    15Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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