New York City II vs Toronto FC II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro New York City II - Toronto FC II
Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
New York City II - Toronto FC II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.87
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Long passes
68% (30/44)52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
76% (84/110)82% (152/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.68
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
612
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4933
Clearances
3421
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.871.87
Goals prevented
0.870.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Ythallo 🟨,
  • 32', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Nolan J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Guarino E. , Elias P. (A),
  • 66', Arroyave J. , Lacher J. ,
  • 66', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 66', Ythallo , Fortier T. ,
  • 68', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 72', Sullivan M. 🟨,
  • 73', Iliadis C. 🟨,
  • 74', Zeitz U. , Sunjic L. ,
  • 81', Bossenberry A. , Edwards N. ,
  • 85', Elias P. , Infuso P. ,
  • 87', Guarino E. , Duque D. ,

Chances of winning


New York City II
52.7%
Draw
26%
Toronto FC II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 24.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City II - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.88)
    3.53
    (3.74)
    4.29
    (3.41)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, New York City II is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0
    15.09.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0
    11.09.2024 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:2
    12.06.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 1:3
    15.09.2023 New York City II - Toronto FC II 4:3
    Latest results of New York City II
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II19623833:3925
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chattanooga19833530:2933
    4Huntsville17832435:1932
    5Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    6New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9New York City II19623833:3925
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

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