New York City II vs Toronto FC II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Belson Stadium (New York, NY).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.91
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
88% (384/437)	88% (419/477)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.87	0.87
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
6	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
19	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
12	6
Passes
88% (384/437)	88% (419/477)
Long passes
68% (30/44)	52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
76% (84/110)	82% (152/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.68
Throw-ins
25	22
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
64% (9/14)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
49	33
Clearances
34	21
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
xGOT faced
0.87	1.87
Goals prevented
0.87	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ythallo 🟨,
32', Elias P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sharp C. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Guarino E. ⚽, Elias P. (A),
66', Arroyave J. ↓, Lacher J. ↑,
66', Henry M. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
66', Ythallo ↓, Fortier T. ↑,
68', Chisholm M. 🟨,
72', Sullivan M. 🟨,
73', Iliadis C. 🟨,
74', Zeitz U. ↓, Sunjic L. ↑,
81', Bossenberry A. ↓, Edwards N. ↑,
85', Elias P. ↓, Infuso P. ↑,
87', Guarino E. ↓, Duque D. ↑,

Chances of winning

New York City II
52.7%

Draw
26%

Toronto FC II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

24.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York City II - Toronto FC II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)	3.53 ↓ (3.74)	4.29 ↑ (3.41)	9.1% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Toronto II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, New York City II is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has New York City II won against Toronto FC II?

New York City II has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against New York City II?

Toronto FC II has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Toronto FC II were as follows:

15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0

15.09.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0

11.09.2024 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:2

12.06.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 1:3

15.09.2023 New York City II - Toronto FC II 4:3

Latest results of New York City II

06.07.2025 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 3:2 ✺

12.06.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - New York City II 2:1 ✺

06.06.2025 Atlanta United II - New York City II 2:3 ✺

31.05.2025 New York City II - New England Revolution II 0:1 ✺

23.05.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Toronto FC II

11.07.2025 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 2:3 ✺

06.07.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Toronto FC II 5:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Orlando City B - Toronto FC II 1:2 ✺

12.06.2025 Toronto FC II - Inter Miami II 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	17	9	5	2	1	42:14	39
3	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
4	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
5	New York City II	19	6	2	3	8	33:39	25
6	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
7	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
8	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	19	8	3	3	5	30:29	33
2	Huntsville	17	8	3	2	4	35:19	32
3	Orlando City B	19	7	2	1	9	26:37	26
4	Crown Legacy	19	5	3	5	6	30:35	26
5	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
6	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
7	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
2	Town FC	16	8	2	2	4	38:21	30
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
4	Real Monarchs	17	5	4	3	5	29:31	26
5	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
6	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
7	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
3	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
4	Austin FC II	18	6	3	4	5	22:21	28
5	Houston Dynamo 2	19	6	3	1	9	27:29	25
6	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
7	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	17	9	5	2	1	42:14	39
3	Chattanooga	19	8	3	3	5	30:29	33
4	Huntsville	17	8	3	2	4	35:19	32
5	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
6	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
7	Orlando City B	19	7	2	1	9	26:37	26
8	Crown Legacy	19	5	3	5	6	30:35	26
9	New York City II	19	6	2	3	8	33:39	25
10	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
11	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
12	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
13	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
14	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18
15	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
3	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
4	Town FC	16	8	2	2	4	38:21	30
5	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
7	Austin FC II	18	6	3	4	5	22:21	28
8	Real Monarchs	17	5	4	3	5	29:31	26
9	Houston Dynamo 2	19	6	3	1	9	27:29	25
10	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
11	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
12	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
13	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21
14	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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It is being streamed on channel


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