Toronto FC II vs New York City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New York City II
Result
3:0
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New York City II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.71
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
88% (525/595)86% (401/465)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.250.60
Total shots
209
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3323
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
127
Passes
88% (525/595)86% (401/465)
Long passes
47% (27/57)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
75% (90/120)78% (101/129)
Crosses
25% (4/16)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.89
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
713
Tackles
50% (4/8)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3928
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.602.25
Goals prevented
0.60-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Edwards N. , Ayari H. (A),
  • 26', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 35', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Cimermancic M. , Stefanovic L. (A),
  • 62', Cimermancic M. 🟨,
  • 64', Fisher M. , Fisher R. ,
  • 65', Barrow D. , Nolan J. ,
  • 66', Sunjic L. , Lacher J. ,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Cimermancic M. , Olguin L. (A),
  • 78', Olguin L. , McDonald P. ,
  • 78', Ayari H. , Sullivan M. ,
  • 82', Elias P. , Guarino E. ,
  • 82', Musu S. , Bilden J. ,
  • 83', Edwards N. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 90', Iliadis C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
52.1%
Draw
21.8%
New York City II
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 20.1% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 19.1% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC II - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.56)
    4.23
    (4.55)
    3.54
    (4.33)
    8.5%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • Toronto II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New York City II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toronto II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Toronto II will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New York City II were as follows:
    16.07.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:0
    15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0
    15.09.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0
    11.09.2024 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:2
    12.06.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 1:3
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of New York City II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II236041335:5722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC221232549:2744
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    4Ventura County231023844:4137
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2237231135:4428
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4Austin FC II24835829:3035
    5North Texas239311036:4734
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II236041335:5722
    15Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Town FC221232549:2744
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    6Ventura County231023844:4137
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8Austin FC II24835829:3035
    9North Texas239311036:4734
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2237231135:4428
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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