New York City II vs Toronto FC II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro New York City II - Toronto FC II
Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
New York City II - Toronto FC II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.87
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Long passes
68% (30/44)52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
76% (84/110)82% (152/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.68
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
612
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4933
Clearances
3421
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.871.87
Goals prevented
0.870.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Ythallo 🟨,
  • 32', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Nolan J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Guarino E. , Elias P. (A),
  • 66', Arroyave J. , Lacher J. ,
  • 66', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 66', Ythallo , Fortier T. ,
  • 68', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 72', Sullivan M. 🟨,
  • 73', Iliadis C. 🟨,
  • 74', Zeitz U. , Sunjic L. ,
  • 81', Bossenberry A. , Edwards N. ,
  • 85', Elias P. , Infuso P. ,
  • 87', Guarino E. , Duque D. ,

Chances of winning


New York City II
52.7%
Draw
26%
Toronto FC II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 24.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City II - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.88)
    3.53
    (3.74)
    4.29
    (3.41)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, New York City II is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0
    15.09.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0
    11.09.2024 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:2
    12.06.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 1:3
    15.09.2023 New York City II - Toronto FC II 4:3
    Latest results of New York City II
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    6New York City II21724840:4329
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville201042444:2340
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Orlando City B217221029:4327
    4Carolina Core22544928:3127
    5Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    6Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    7Atlanta United 219426727:3222


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC191122448:2639
    2Ventura County211023643:3837
    3Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    7Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    3Austin FC II21735627:2732
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4Huntsville201042444:2340
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    8New York City II21724840:4329
    9Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    10Orlando City B217221029:4327
    11Carolina Core22544928:3127
    12Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    13Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    14Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    15Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC191122448:2639
    3Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    4Ventura County211023643:3837
    5Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    6Austin FC II21735627:2732
    7Minnesota 221823834:3431
    8North Texas21831935:4331
    9Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    13Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

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