Tonga vs Canada, Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union Tonga - Canada
Result
35:24
20/09/2025 at 18:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Pacific Nations Cup - Play Offs - 3rd place
Tonga - Canada - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
53
Conversion Goals
53
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 7)
  • 11', Afungia T. (Try),
  • 12', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Pellegrini P. (Try),
  • 35', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Oworu M. (Try),
  • 39', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (21 - 17)
  • 45', Gallagher B. (Try),
  • 46', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Fisiihoi S. (Try),
  • 58', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Nelson P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 62', Pellegrini P. (Try),
  • 63', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Nelson P. (Try),
  • 68', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', Pellegrini P. (Try),
  • 72', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Tonga
84%
Draw
2.6%
Canada
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.3% 2.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tonga's performance.
  • Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Tonga - Canada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.1
    (1.19)
    35.55
    (35)
    6.87
    (4.9)
    8.5%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 56.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Tonga is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 154:106. (average 30.8:21.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tonga - Canada were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Tonga - Canada 30:17
    14.08.2023 Tonga - Canada 36:12
    Latest results of Tonga
    14.09.2025 Tonga - Japan 24:62
    29.08.2025 Fiji - Tonga 32:10
    22.08.2025 Tonga - Samoa 30:16
    24.11.2024 Georgia - Tonga 22:7
    16.11.2024 USA - Tonga 36:17
    Latest results of Canada
    14.09.2025 Fiji - Canada 63:10
    30.08.2025 Japan - Canada 57:15
    22.08.2025 Canada - USA 34:20
    18.07.2025 Canada - Spain 23:24
    12.07.2025 Canada - Belgium 18:25
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1TongaJapan24 : 62
    2FijiCanada63 : 10

    Final
    1JapanFiji27 : 33

    3rd place
    2TongaCanada35 : 24
    Which TV channels are streaming of Tonga - Canada?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
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