Tondela vs Estrela da Amadora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Tondela - Estrela da Amadora
Result
0:0
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 6
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
Tondela - Estrela da Amadora - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.05
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
83% (305/368)73% (222/303)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.510.61
Total shots
178
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
83% (305/368)73% (222/303)
Long passes
54% (25/46)40% (29/72)
Passes in final third
67% (92/137)59% (40/68)
Crosses
27% (8/30)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.19
Throw-ins
2624
Fouls
1613
Tackles
48% (10/21)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.611.51
Goals prevented
0.611.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Moreira P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Siebatcheu J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Medina B. 🟨,
  • 53', Vita R. 🟨,
  • 58', Cabral S. 🟨,
  • 59', Hodge J. , Maviram E. ,
  • 59', Vita R. , Felix H. ,
  • 60', Ryan Carlos , Montoia G. ,
  • 63', Kikas , Rodrigo Pinho ,
  • 63', Stoica I. , Alisson Souza ,
  • 68', Alisson Souza 🟨,
  • 70', Bebeto , Manso T. ,
  • 70', Rony Lopes , Sithole S. ,
  • 77', Maviram E. 🟨,
  • 79', Moreira P. , Ngom O. ,
  • 79', Cabral S. , Encada J. ,
  • 83', Siebatcheu J. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 87', Tavares H. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
41.6%
Draw
31.4%
Estrela da Amadora
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 29% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 28.9% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Tondela - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.27)
    3.03
    (3.3)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tondela - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 15).
    • Tondela is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Estrela is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tondela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estrela: Jovane (Inactive) Montoia G. (Injury) Ngom O. (Inactive) Nilton (Foot Injury) Semeu (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    26.02.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Tondela 0:0
    05.09.2022 Tondela - Estrela da Amadora 1:1
    Latest results of Tondela
    12.09.2025 Alverca - Tondela 1:0
    31.08.2025 Tondela - Estoril Praia 2:2
    23.08.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    16.08.2025 Tondela - Famalicão 0:1
    10.08.2025 Braga - Tondela 3:0
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP760119:41518
    2FC Porto660015:11418
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Moreirense750210:8215
    5Gil Vicente74128:4413
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Braga723211:749
    8Santa Clara72235:8-38
    9Vitoria Guimaraes72237:11-48
    10Arouca62229:14-58
    11Estrela71426:607
    12Alverca72148:11-37
    13Nacional72146:10-47
    14Casa Pia72146:11-57
    15Estoril71248:11-35
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS70164:17-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tondela - Estrela da Amadora?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
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