Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 15:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 71% (35/49) | 72% (49/68) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (19/31) | 41% (13/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/3 | 6/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (19/68) | 31% (15/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 39% (12/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/10 | 3/3 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (54/79) | 62% (62/100) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (38/100) | 32% (25/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (92/179) | 49% (87/179) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 48% (14/29) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul 68.2% | Raphael Collignon 31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-2%)
Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.4 ↑ (1.35) |
|
3 ↓ (3.01) |
4.9% (7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon?
- Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Collignon will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 56.3% – 96.7%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 23. Collignon is ranked ATP: 72.
- In recent matches, Paul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Collignon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Raphael Collignon?
Tommy Paul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raphael Collignon won against Tommy Paul?
Raphael Collignon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon were as follows:
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Raphael Collignon
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Fonseca J. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Korda S. (32) | |
| 5 | Darderi L. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Giron M. | Landaluce M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Duckworth J. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Khachanov K. (14) | |
| 9 | Ruud C. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Quinn E. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Kouame M. (WC) | Svajda Z. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Lehecka J. (21) | |
| 13 | Draper J. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Opelka R. | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Shapovalov D. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Fritz T. (6) | |
| 17 | Vukic A. (LL) | Bye | |
| 18 | Jodar R. (Q) | Hanfmann Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Bergs Z. | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | |
| 21 | Paul T. (22) | Bye | |
| 22 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Collignon R. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Cobolli F. (13) | |
| 25 | Bublik A. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Muller A. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Vacherot V. (24) | |
| 29 | Fils A. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Tsitsipas S. | Fery A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 33 | Shelton B. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Arnaldi M. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Diallo G. | Wu Y. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Humbert U. (31) | |
| 37 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Bye | |
| 38 | Royer V. | Tirante T. A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Kovacevic A. | Sakamoto R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Medvedev D. (9) | |
| 41 | Davidovich Fokina A. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Halys Q. | Draxl L. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Majchrzak K. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Tien L. (20) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Bye | |
| 46 | Cilic M. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Damm M. (WC) | Fearnley J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 49 | Auger-Aliassime F. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | O'Connell C. (Q) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Atmane T. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (26) | |
| 53 | Tiafoe F. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Cazaux A. | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Walton A. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Rublev A. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Tabilo A. | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Michelsen A. | Bellucci M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Norrie C. (23) | |
| 61 | Moutet C. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Nava E. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Buse I. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Korda S. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (17) | Landaluce M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bautista-Agut R. | Khachanov K. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (11) | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kouame M. | Lehecka J. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Draper J. (25) | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Fritz T. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Vukic A. | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bergs Z. | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Paul T. (22) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Collignon R. | Cobolli F. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Bublik A. (10) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Navone M. | Vacherot V. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fils A. (28) | Blanch Dar. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Tsitsipas S. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Shelton B. (8) | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Diallo G. | Humbert U. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Sakamoto R. | Medvedev D. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Davidovich Fokina A. (16) | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Majchrzak K. | Tien L. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (27) | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Damm M. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (7) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Atmane T. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tiafoe F. (19) | Cazaux A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Walton A. | Mensik J. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Rublev A. (15) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Michelsen A. | Norrie C. (23) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Moutet C. (30) | Machac T. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Dzumhur D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Korda S. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. | Khachanov K. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Quinn E. | Lehecka J. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Opelka R. | Fritz T. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jodar R. | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Paul T. (22) | Collignon R. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Berrettini M. | Vacherot V. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Fils A. (28) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shevchenko A. | Humbert U. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Medvedev D. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Halys Q. | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Cilic M. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (7) | Atmane T. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Tiafoe F. (19) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Tabilo A. | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Moutet C. (30) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Korda S. (32) | Landaluce M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (21) | Fritz T. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Paul T. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Vacherot V. (24) | Fils A. (28) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Humbert U. (31) | Cerundolo F. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Halys Q. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atmane T. | Tiafoe F. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Landaluce M. | Lehecka J. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Paul T. (22) | Fils A. (28) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (19) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Lehecka J. (21) | Fils A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Lehecka J. (21) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
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