Tommy Paul vs Colton Smith: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Houston Tommy Paul - Colton Smith
Result
2:0
04/04/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals
Tommy Paul - Colton Smith - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
47%62%
1st Serve Points Won
92% (22/24)61% (27/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (19/27)48% (13/27)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
39% (17/44)8% (2/24)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (14/27)30% (8/27)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)0% (0/3)
Winners
2313
Unforced Errors
1931
Net Points Won
79% (11/14)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
80% (41/51)56% (40/71)
Return Points Won
44% (31/71)20% (10/51)
Total Points Won
59% (72/122)41% (50/122)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Tommy Paul
68%
Colton Smith
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tommy Paul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tommy Paul - Colton Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.3)

    2.93
    (3.42)
    5.6%
    (6.2%)
    What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Colton Smith?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Paul is ranked ATP: 13. Smith is ranked ATP: 200.
    • Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Smith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Paul will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Bye
    2Garin C. (WC)Ritschard A.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    4Quinn E. (WC)Thompson J. (6)2 : 1
    5Tabilo A. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T.Brooksby J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Holt B.Denolly C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    9Nishikori K. (8)Krueger M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Eubanks C.1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.McDonald M.1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (5)Tien L.2 : 0
    14Hanfmann Y.Mannarino A. (LL)0 : 2
    15Mmoh M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Garin C.2 : 1
    2Smith C.Quinn E.2 : 0
    3Tabilo A. (3)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    5Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)Eubanks C.0 : 1
    6McDonald M.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (5)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    8Walton A.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    3Eubanks C.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (5)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0
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