Tombense vs Sport Recife: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Tombense - Sport Recife
Result
0:0
11/08/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
Tombense - Sport Recife - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Tombense
32.1%
Draw
30.6%
Sport Recife
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 31.7% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 31.4% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Tombense - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.25)
    3.03
    (2.95)
    2.49
    (2.38)
    7.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tombense - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Recife will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
    • Tombense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sport Recife is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Tombense: Daniel Amorim (Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Sport Recife were as follows:
    10.05.2023 Sport Recife - Tombense 3:2
    Latest results of Tombense
    02.08.2023 Ituano - Tombense 1:0
    30.07.2023 Tombense - Criciúma 2:2
    22.07.2023 Mirassol - Tombense 2:0
    18.07.2023 Tombense - CRB Maceio 2:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
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    11Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    12CRB2074922:21125
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    14Atletico GO2059619:21-224
    15Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda2056914:23-921
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
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          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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