Result
1:0
07/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie C - First stage - Round 11
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Elvis 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Lucas Candido 🟨,
- 57', Rafael Silva 🟨,
- 65', Lucas Candido ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Elvis (Pen),
- 74', Jeh 🟨,
- 76', Dudu ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
- 76', Everton Brito ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
- 79', Lucas Mila ↓, Adson ↑,
- 79', Rafael Silva ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 79', Jean Dias ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 79', Elvis ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 85', Ze Eduardo ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 85', Jefferson Renan ↓, Julio Henrique ↑,
- 89', Rickson ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
48.1% | Draw
31% | Tombense
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Ponte Preta - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.72) |
2.92 ↓
(3.13) |
4.35 ↓
(4.83) |
10.2%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Tombense?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).
- Ponte Preta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tombense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ponte Preta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Tombense?
Ponte Preta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Ponte Preta?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Tombense were as follows:
11.11.2023
Tombense
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
15.07.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Tombense
0:1
15.10.2022
Tombense
-
Ponte Preta
0:0
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
First stage | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 37 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 20:16 | 4 | 36 |
| 3 | Nautico | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 25:7 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Londrina | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Brusque | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20:17 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Confianca | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17:21 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:21 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 23 |
| 15 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | Itabaiana | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 | CSA | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
| 18 | ABC | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 19 | Retro | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 7:22 | -15 | 14 |
| 20 | Tombense | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Which TV channels are streaming of Ponte Preta - Tombense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
