Ponte Preta vs Tombense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Ponte Preta - Tombense
Result
1:0
07/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 11
Ponte Preta - Tombense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
116
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Elvis 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Lucas Candido 🟨,
  • 57', Rafael Silva 🟨,
  • 65', Lucas Candido , Serginho ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Elvis (Pen),
  • 74', Jeh 🟨,
  • 76', Dudu , Jonas Toro ,
  • 76', Everton Brito , Leo Oliveira ,
  • 79', Lucas Mila , Adson ,
  • 79', Rafael Silva , Joao Vitor ,
  • 79', Jean Dias , Diego Tavares ,
  • 79', Elvis , Luiz Felipe ,
  • 85', Ze Eduardo , Jupi ,
  • 85', Jefferson Renan , Julio Henrique ,
  • 89', Rickson , Andre Cardoso ,

Chances of winning


Ponte Preta
48.1%
Draw
31%
Tombense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 28.8% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 27.9% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Ponte Preta - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.72)
    2.92
    (3.13)
    4.35
    (4.83)
    10.2%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Tombense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).
    • Ponte Preta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tombense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ponte Preta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Tombense were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Tombense - Ponte Preta 0:1
    15.07.2023 Ponte Preta - Tombense 0:1
    15.10.2022 Tombense - Ponte Preta 0:0
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    28.06.2025 Maringá - Ponte Preta 0:1
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    02.06.2025 Ponte Preta - Ypiranga 0:1
    17.05.2025 Ponte Preta - Brusque 1:4
    Latest results of Tombense
    15.06.2025 Brusque - Tombense 0:0
    01.06.2025 Tombense - Anápolis 1:1
    25.05.2025 Ypiranga - Tombense 1:0
    17.05.2025 Tombense - CS Alagoano 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Nautico1465315:6923
    5Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    6Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    7Floresta EC1455411:12-120
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1444610:13-316
    13ABC14210216:18-216
    14Figueirense1336415:14115
    15Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ponte Preta - Tombense?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
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