Ponte Preta vs Tombense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Ponte Preta - Tombense
07/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Ponte Preta - Tombense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Ponte Preta
50.6%
Draw
29.2%
Tombense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 28.8% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 27.9% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Ponte Preta - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.72)
    3.11
    (3.13)
    4.5
    (4.83)
    10%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Ponte Preta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tombense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ponte Preta is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Tombense were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Tombense - Ponte Preta 0:1
    15.07.2023 Ponte Preta - Tombense 0:1
    15.10.2022 Tombense - Ponte Preta 0:0
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    28.06.2025 Maringá - Ponte Preta 0:1
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    02.06.2025 Ponte Preta - Ypiranga 0:1
    17.05.2025 Ponte Preta - Brusque 1:4
    Latest results of Tombense
    15.06.2025 Brusque - Tombense 0:0
    01.06.2025 Tombense - Anápolis 1:1
    25.05.2025 Ypiranga - Tombense 1:0
    17.05.2025 Tombense - CS Alagoano 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1070318:12621
    2Ponte Preta1062210:7320
    3Ypiranga FC1061311:10119
    4Londrina1054118:9919
    5CSA1044212:8416
    6Nautico1043312:6615
    7Sao Bernardo104339:7215
    8Brusque104339:8115
    9Floresta EC104337:8-115
    10Guarani104249:9014
    11Maringa FC1034314:14013
    12Ituano1034310:10013
    13Tombense102538:10-211
    14Itabaiana103169:13-410
    15Figueirense1024412:13-110
    16ABC101729:12-310
    17Botafogo PB102359:10-19
    18Confianca1022610:16-68
    19Retro102264:12-88
    20Anapolis100736:12-67

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

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