Tombense vs Maringá: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Tombense - Maringá
Result
1:1
28/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 14
Tombense - Maringá - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
99
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Lucas Mila 🟨,
  • 23', Everton Morelli 🟨,
  • 27', Max Miller 🟨,
  • 34', Leo Pereira , Julio Henrique ,
  • 45', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor ,
  • 65', Fabricio Dias , Pedro Oliveira ,
  • 65', Lucas Mila , Joao Vitor ,
  • 65', Rafael Silva , Ze Eduardo ,
  • 69', Ianson , Fernando ,
  • 71', Danielzinho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 74', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', Fernando 🟨,
  • 78', Ze Vitor , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 79', Maranhao , Julio Rodrigues ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira (Pen),
  • 84', Buga , Joao Felix ,
  • 90', Joao Felix 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kaike 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tombense
35.6%
Draw
30.7%
Maringá
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 29.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.6% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maringá's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maringá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tombense - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.13)
    2.97
    (3.08)
    2.71
    (3.23)
    9.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tombense - Maringá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 16).
    • Tombense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Maringá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Tombense
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Tombense - ABC 1:2
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    15.06.2025 Brusque - Tombense 0:0
    Latest results of Maringá
    19.07.2025 ABC - Maringá 3:3
    14.07.2025 Maringá - Brusque 0:2
    06.07.2025 Ypiranga - Maringá 0:0
    28.06.2025 Maringá - Ponte Preta 0:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina10102:201
    2Sao Bernardo10102:201
    3Floresta EC10100:001
    4SER Caxias10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nautico11001:013
    2Ponte Preta11001:013
    3Guarani10010:1-10
    4Brusque10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping
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