Tombense vs Caxias: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Tombense - Caxias
18/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Tombense - Caxias - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Tombense
33%
Draw
32.7%
Caxias
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 30.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 31.3% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Tombense - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.4)
    2.8
    (2.98)
    2.66
    (2.82)
    9.5%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Tombense - Caxias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Tombense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caxias is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Caxias were as follows:
    26.06.2024 Tombense - Caxias 2:1
    Latest results of Tombense
    10.08.2025 Floresta - Tombense 1:0
    03.08.2025 São Bernardo - Tombense 2:0
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Tombense - ABC 1:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    09.08.2025 Caxias - ABC 1:0
    03.08.2025 Ypiranga - Caxias 0:1
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    13.07.2025 Caxias - Anápolis 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias ✔ 16120426:17936
    2Ponte Preta ✔ 1793517:15230
    3Nautico1685320:61429
    4Sao Bernardo1685318:9929
    5Londrina1675424:16826
    6Floresta EC1666413:13024
    7Guarani1765617:18-123
    8Brusque1664616:15122
    9CSA1757520:19122
    10Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    11Ituano1756617:20-321
    12Maringa FC1749421:22-121
    13Confianca1655619:21-220
    14Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    15Anapolis1647513:17-419
    16Itabaiana1753913:18-518
    17Figueirense1638517:17017
    18ABC17211419:23-417
    19Retro1734106:20-1413
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
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