Tomas Machac vs Alex De Minaur: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/04/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
5	3
Double Faults
3	2
1st Serve Percentage
63%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (33/47)	80% (35/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (10/28)	53% (20/38)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)	80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (10/44)	30% (14/47)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (18/38)	64% (18/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)	80% (4/5)
Winners
24	28
Unforced Errors
40	24
Net Points Won
83% (10/12)	71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
57% (43/75)	66% (53/80)
Return Points Won
34% (27/80)	43% (32/75)
Total Points Won
45% (70/155)	55% (85/155)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)	92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)	33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
38% (9/24)	63% (15/24)

Chances of winning

Tomas Machac
45.2%

Alex De Minaur
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.8)		1.74 ↓ (2)	5.3% (5.7%)

What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur?

The most likely score is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Machac is ranked ATP: 21. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
Machac in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches De Minaur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Alex De Minaur?

Tomas Machac has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Tomas Machac?

Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur were as follows:

Latest results of Tomas Machac

08.04.2025 Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez 2:1 ✺

25.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik Mensik J. walkover ✺

24.03.2025 Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac 1:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki Machac T. retired ✺

Latest results of Alex De Minaur

25.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺

24.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur 2:0 ✺

10.03.2025 Hubert Hurkacz - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: