UNAM vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Women UNAM - Toluca
Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Perez Comellas M. (Mex)
UNAM - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Chavero P. (Own goal),
  • 38', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 54', Henry A. 🟨,
  • 56', Flores S. , Herrera L. ,
  • 56', Rios X. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 56', Bolanos N. , Hix A. ,
  • 63', Valadez N. , van de Sanden S. ,
  • 63', Erceg A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 72', Guerrero A. , Acosta F. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Ribeiro S. ,
  • 77', Martinez K. , Guatemala D. ,
  • 83', Peraza C. , Munoz I. ,
  • 86', Munoz I. 🟥,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


UNAM
41.8%
Draw
26.6%
Toluca
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 28.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.2% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • UNAM - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.38)
    3.66
    (3.2)
    3.08
    (2.75)
    2.8%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Toluca were as follows:
    31.01.2025 UNAM - Toluca 3:0
    19.07.2024 Toluca - UNAM 1:2
    17.01.2024 Toluca - UNAM 2:2
    16.09.2023 UNAM - Toluca 5:1
    06.03.2023 Toluca - UNAM 0:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    01.09.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:5
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    17.08.2025 UNAM - Club America 2:3
    09.08.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:2
    04.08.2025 UNAM - Cruz Azul 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W13102148:74132
    2Pachuca W1393142:162630
    3Club America W1392245:162929
    4Guadalajara Chivas W1382319:11826
    5Toluca W1374222:15725
    6Monterrey W1372428:19923
    7UNAM Pumas W1371527:20722
    8Atl. San Luis W1363419:15421
    9Club Leon W1363423:23021
    10Juarez W1354416:14219
    11Atlas W1354419:21-219
    12Cruz Azul W1353528:20818
    13Club Tijuana W1333712:18-612
    14Santos Laguna W1322915:32-178
    15Necaxa W132298:31-238
    16Queretaro W1314812:42-307
    17Puebla W1312105:33-285
    18Mazatlan FC W1302117:42-352

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of UNAM - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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