Santos Laguna vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Santos Laguna - Toluca
Result
2:4
16/07/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2
  • Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
Santos Laguna - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
210
Shots on target
714
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.00
Total shots
210
Shots on target
714
Shots off target
06
Shots inside the Box
20
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
20
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
711
Expected assists (xA)
0.000.00
Fouls
920
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
0.000.68
Goals prevented
0.00-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Sordo R. ,
  • 20', Pereira F. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ,
  • 30', Aceves S. 🟨,
  • 35', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
  • 38', Arteaga V. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Helinho , Castro N. (A),
  • 45+3', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Arteaga V. , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ,
  • 46', Pereira F. , Virgen O. ,
  • 46', Aceves S. , Barbosa D. ,
  • 46', Villalba F. , Gutierrez E. ,
  • 46', Balanta K. , Lozano C. ,
  • 49', 2 - 2, Helinho , Virgen O. (A),
  • 54', Abella J. 🟨,
  • 58', Sordo R. , Dajome C. ,
  • 62', Echeverria E. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Morales R. , Helinho (A),
  • 68', Echeverria E. , Carrillo J. ,
  • 69', Abella J. , Medina D. ,
  • 77', Helinho , Vega A. ,
  • 88', Gonzalez H. , Garcia L. ,
  • 88', Garcia L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 4, Morales R. , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos Laguna
17.2%
Draw
22.4%
Toluca
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 23.4% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
  • Santos Laguna - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.35
    (4.34)
    4.18
    (3.98)
    1.57
    (1.69)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Toluca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
    • In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P. (Injury) Barticciotto B. (Foot Injury) Medina D. (Injury) Sordo R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toluca: Lopez P. (Finger Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Toluca were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Toluca - Santos Laguna 2:1
    22.09.2024 Santos Laguna - Toluca 2:0
    21.02.2024 Toluca - Santos Laguna 1:0
    05.11.2023 Santos Laguna - Toluca 3:1
    23.02.2023 Santos Laguna - Toluca 0:5
    Latest results of Santos Laguna
    12.07.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:0
    20.04.2025 Santos Laguna - Tijuana 0:4
    16.04.2025 UNAM - Santos Laguna 2:0
    13.04.2025 Santos Laguna - Querétaro 1:2
    Latest results of Toluca
    12.07.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 3:1
    25.05.2025 Toluca - Club América 2:0
    22.05.2025 Club América - Toluca 0:0
    17.05.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:0
    14.05.2025 Tigres UANL - Toluca 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca22007:346
    2Pachuca22006:246
    3Club America21104:224
    4Atlas21106:514
    5Mazatlan FC21102:114
    6Santos Laguna21015:413
    7Tigres UANL11001:013
    8Necaxa21014:403
    9Atl. San Luis21011:103
    10Club Leon21011:103
    11Club Tijuana21012:3-13
    12Monterrey21011:3-23
    13Cruz Azul20203:302
    14Juarez20111:2-11
    15Guadalajara Chivas10010:1-10
    16Puebla20023:5-20
    17Queretaro20021:4-30
    18UNAM Pumas20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Santos Laguna - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
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