Puebla vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Women Puebla - Toluca
Result
1:3
13/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
Puebla - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Total shots
913
Shots on target
310
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
913
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, van de Sanden S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 2, ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 61', Rodriguez C. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 61', Solis J. , Morin A. ,
  • 62', Guatemala D. , Sahagun Molina V. M. ,
  • 62', Vazquez S. , Peraza C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,
  • 79', Santos E. , Moron V. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Puebla
12.7%
Draw
17.4%
Toluca
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 19.8% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7% 19% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Puebla aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Puebla - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.26
    (6.75)
    5.3
    (4.5)
    1.32
    (1.33)
    8.3%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0.
    • Puebla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Toluca is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Puebla won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Toluca were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Toluca - Puebla 1:0
    03.05.2024 Puebla - Toluca 1:2
    05.10.2023 Toluca - Puebla 3:0
    26.02.2023 Puebla - Toluca 0:2
    17.10.2022 Toluca - Puebla 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    23.03.2025 Puebla - Santos Laguna 2:1
    12.03.2025 Club America - Puebla 7:0
    09.03.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:2
    02.03.2025 Mazatlan - Puebla 3:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    30.03.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:2
    20.03.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 2:3
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    04.03.2025 Toluca - Juárez 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Club America W770028:32521
    2Toluca W752010:4617
    3Tigres UANL W751119:41516
    4Monterrey W750220:11915
    5Pachuca W742124:91514
    6UNAM Pumas W641113:6713
    7Guadalajara Chivas W74129:5413
    8Juarez W73229:5411
    9Atl. San Luis W73135:8-310
    10Club Leon W723210:11-19
    11Cruz Azul W722314:1048
    12Atlas W71335:12-76
    13Necaxa W61236:14-85
    14Santos Laguna W61145:11-64
    15Queretaro W70347:23-163
    16Club Tijuana W70255:14-92
    17Puebla W70163:20-171
    18Mazatlan FC W60153:25-221

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Puebla - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
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