Puebla vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Women Puebla - Toluca
Result
1:3
13/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
Puebla - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Total shots
913
Shots on target
310
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
913
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, van de Sanden S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 2, ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 61', Rodriguez C. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 61', Solis J. , Morin A. ,
  • 62', Guatemala D. , Sahagun Molina V. M. ,
  • 62', Vazquez S. , Peraza C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,
  • 79', Santos E. , Moron V. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Puebla
12.7%
Draw
17.4%
Toluca
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 19.8% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7% 19% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Puebla aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Puebla - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.28
    (6.75)
    5.32
    (4.5)
    1.33
    (1.33)
    7.9%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0.
    • Puebla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Toluca is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Puebla won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Toluca were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Toluca - Puebla 1:0
    03.05.2024 Puebla - Toluca 1:2
    05.10.2023 Toluca - Puebla 3:0
    26.02.2023 Puebla - Toluca 0:2
    17.10.2022 Toluca - Puebla 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    23.03.2025 Puebla - Santos Laguna 2:1
    12.03.2025 Club America - Puebla 7:0
    09.03.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:2
    02.03.2025 Mazatlan - Puebla 3:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    30.03.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:2
    20.03.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 2:3
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    04.03.2025 Toluca - Juárez 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W ✔ 14112151:74435
    2Pachuca W ✔ 14103147:163133
    3Club America W ✔ 14102247:173032
    4Guadalajara Chivas W1492323:14929
    5Toluca W1484228:151328
    6Club Leon W1473427:25224
    7Monterrey W1472529:21823
    8UNAM Pumas W1471630:24622
    9Cruz Azul W1463532:23921
    10Atl. San Luis W1463519:20-121
    11Juarez W1455416:14220
    12Atlas W1454521:25-419
    13Club Tijuana W1433815:22-712
    14Queretaro W1424813:42-2910
    15Santos Laguna W1423915:32-179
    16Necaxa W1422108:32-248
    17Puebla W1412115:36-315
    18Mazatlan FC W1402127:48-412

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Puebla - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
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