Toluca vs Puebla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Toluca - Puebla
13/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toluca - Puebla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toluca
71.5%
Draw
17%
Puebla
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72% 16.7% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Toluca - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.29)
    5.49
    (5.54)
    8.18
    (8.23)
    5.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
    • Recent performances by Toluca have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puebla has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Puebla were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Puebla - Toluca 0:3
    22.10.2024 Toluca - Puebla 5:0
    26.01.2024 Puebla - Toluca 1:1
    31.10.2023 Toluca - Puebla 0:1
    07.04.2023 Puebla - Toluca 1:2
    Latest results of Toluca
    23.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:0
    20.08.2025 Toluca - Orlando City 0:1
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    11.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:2
    Latest results of Puebla
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey760117:9818
    2Club America752015:6917
    3Cruz Azul752015:8717
    4Tigres UANL641116:8813
    5Toluca741216:10613
    6Pachuca741211:7413
    7Club Tijuana733113:9412
    8Juarez73227:7011
    9Club Leon73138:9-110
    10UNAM Pumas72327:8-19
    11Santos Laguna72059:11-26
    12Mazatlan FC71338:10-26
    13Atl. San Luis720510:13-36
    14Atlas712412:19-75
    15Necaxa71246:13-75
    16Guadalajara Chivas61149:12-34
    17Queretaro71157:15-84
    18Puebla71156:18-124

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

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