Toluca vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Cup Toluca - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:2 penalties
09/08/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Toluca - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
69
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
01
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
26
Goalkeeper Saves
74
Fouls
125
Yellow Cards
11
Total Passes
410458
Completed Passes
342372
Tackles
00
Attacks
88102
Dangerous Attacks
6052
Clearances Completed
615
Crosses Completed
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Angulo J. , Araujo M. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ponce E. , Bassi A. (A),
  • 45+3', Gallardo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Aliyu I. , Ennali L. ,
  • 59', Blessing L. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Micael , Escobar F. (A),
  • 68', Baeza C. , Meneses J. ,
  • 69', Vega A. , Amaya F. ,
  • 69', Garcia Caprizo B. A. , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ,
  • 74', Angulo J. , Lopez I. ,
  • 78', Araujo M. , Morales R. ,
  • 84', Bassi A. , Raines B. ,
  • 84', Ponce E. , Ferreira S. ,
  • 87', Artur 🟨,
  • 90+2', Herrera H. , Bartlow E. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Lopez I. , Gallardo J. (A),
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Dorsey G. (Pen),
  • 1, Tiago Volpi (Pen),
  • 2, Kowalczyk S. (Pen),
  • 2, Morales R. (Pen),
  • 3, Ferreira S. (Pen),
  • 3, Paulinho (Pen),
  • 4, Ennali L. (Pen),
  • 4, Gallardo J. (Pen),
  • 5, Sviatchenko E. (Pen),
  • 5, Lopez I. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
36.5%
Draw
27.2%
Houston Dynamo
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 26.4% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 25% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toluca's form might have worsened.
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toluca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toluca - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.21)
    3.43
    (3.5)
    2.55
    (2.89)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Toluca in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Houston is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Toluca have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Toluca
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    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    Main

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    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Seattle Sounders3300011:29
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    5Portland Timbers320106:17
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    8Los Angeles FC311104:36
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    10Minnesota United310117:64
    11FC Cincinnati310116:64
    12Colorado Rapids310115:54
    13Charlotte310115:64
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    15San Diego FC310025:53
    16New York City310023:53
    17CF Montreal301023:52
    18Houston Dynamo300032:80

          Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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