Cruz Azul vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Women Cruz Azul - Toluca
Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
Cruz Azul - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
3818
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
3818
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
3012
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 16', van de Sanden S. , Monroy F. ,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Angeles L. ,
  • 21', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 40', Lopez V. 🟨,
  • 43', Martinez K. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Calderon D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Martinez K. , Lopez J. ,
  • 48', 2 - 3, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 60', Gutierrez D. , Gutierrez I. ,
  • 60', Lomeli A. , Blackwood D. ,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Chavarin A. ,
  • 62', Peraza C. , Cuevas B. ,
  • 72', Monroy F. , Cortez V. ,
  • 81', 3 - 3, Chavarin A. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 3, Chavarin A. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Grimaldo N. ,

Chances of winning


Cruz Azul
42.6%
Draw
26.5%
Toluca
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28.4% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Cruz Azul - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.07)
    3.57
    (3.25)
    3.07
    (3.43)
    5.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cruz Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Toluca were as follows:
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    12.10.2024 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:1
    22.04.2024 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:3
    20.10.2023 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:0
    06.05.2023 Cruz Azul - Toluca 0:1
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    12.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 4:0
    04.08.2025 UNAM - Cruz Azul 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    04.08.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 1:2
    24.07.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 1:3
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W13102148:74132
    2Pachuca W1393142:162630
    3Club America W1392245:162929
    4Toluca W1374222:15725
    5Monterrey W1372428:19923
    6Guadalajara Chivas W1272318:11723
    7UNAM Pumas W1371527:20722
    8Atl. San Luis W1363419:15421
    9Club Leon W1363423:23021
    10Juarez W1354416:14219
    11Atlas W1354419:21-219
    12Cruz Azul W1353528:20818
    13Club Tijuana W1333712:18-612
    14Santos Laguna W1322915:32-178
    15Necaxa W132298:31-238
    16Queretaro W1314812:42-307
    17Puebla W1312105:33-285
    18Mazatlan FC W1202107:41-342

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruz Azul - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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