Cruz Azul vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Women Cruz Azul - Toluca
Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
Cruz Azul - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Cruz Azul - Toluca live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
3818
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
3818
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
3012
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 16', van de Sanden S. , Monroy F. ,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Angeles L. ,
  • 21', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 40', Lopez V. 🟨,
  • 43', Martinez K. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Calderon D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Martinez K. , Lopez J. ,
  • 48', 2 - 3, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 60', Gutierrez D. , Gutierrez I. ,
  • 60', Lomeli A. , Blackwood D. ,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Chavarin A. ,
  • 62', Peraza C. , Cuevas B. ,
  • 72', Monroy F. , Cortez V. ,
  • 81', 3 - 3, Chavarin A. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 3, Chavarin A. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Grimaldo N. ,

Chances of winning


Cruz Azul
42.6%
Draw
26.5%
Toluca
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28.4% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Cruz Azul - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.07)
    3.57
    (3.25)
    3.07
    (3.43)
    5.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cruz Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Toluca were as follows:
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    12.10.2024 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:1
    22.04.2024 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:3
    20.10.2023 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:0
    06.05.2023 Cruz Azul - Toluca 0:1
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    12.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 4:0
    04.08.2025 UNAM - Cruz Azul 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    04.08.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 1:2
    24.07.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 1:3
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Club America W980136:92724
    2Pachuca W1072133:141923
    3Tigres UANL W971130:62422
    4Toluca W962115:8720
    5UNAM Pumas W861119:91019
    6Monterrey W952222:13917
    7Guadalajara Chivas W1052314:11317
    8Atl. San Luis W951314:8616
    9Juarez W1043314:10415
    10Club Leon W1043315:14115
    11Cruz Azul W1042423:16714
    12Atlas W1033414:18-412
    13Necaxa W92258:19-118
    14Club Tijuana W91266:15-95
    15Santos Laguna W911712:24-124
    16Queretaro W100379:38-293
    17Puebla W90183:28-251
    18Mazatlan FC W90186:33-271

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruz Azul - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan