Toluca vs Club América: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Toluca - Club América
Result
2:0
25/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Final
Toluca - Club América - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.34
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
72% (208/287)84% (415/496)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.00
Total shots
154
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
72% (208/287)84% (415/496)
Long passes
38% (23/61)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
51% (41/81)68% (92/135)
Crosses
36% (5/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.59
Throw-ins
2029
Fouls
1310
Tackles
67% (14/21)93% (13/14)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
2823
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.49
Goals prevented
0.00-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', Martin H. , Aguirre R. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Luan , Vega A. (A),
  • 72', Juarez R. , Valdes D. ,
  • 72', Paulinho , Morales R. ,
  • 72', dos Santos J. , Davila V. ,
  • 76', Angulo J. , Herrera H. ,
  • 78', Caceres S. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Vega A. (Pen),
  • 83', Alvarez K. , Dilrosun J. ,
  • 83', Borja C. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 90', Garcia L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vega A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vega A. , Violante I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
33.5%
Draw
30.8%
Club América
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 27.3% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 26.3% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toluca's form might have worsened.
  • Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toluca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toluca - Club América Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.25)
    3.08
    (3.4)
    2.68
    (2.95)
    5.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Toluca - Club América?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toluca: Lopez P. (Finger Injury) Pereira F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in América: Lichnovsky I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in América: Rodriguez B. (Groin Injury) Salas P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Club América were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Club América - Toluca 0:0
    01.03.2025 Club América - Toluca 3:0
    30.11.2024 Toluca - Club América 0:2
    27.11.2024 Club América - Toluca 2:0
    09.11.2024 Toluca - Club América 4:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    22.05.2025 Club América - Toluca 0:0
    17.05.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:0
    14.05.2025 Tigres UANL - Toluca 1:1
    10.05.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:1
    07.05.2025 Monterrey - Toluca 3:2
    Latest results of Club América
    22.05.2025 Club América - Toluca 0:0
    18.05.2025 Club América - Cruz Azul 2:1
    15.05.2025 Cruz Azul - Club América 1:0
    10.05.2025 Club América - Pachuca 2:0
    07.05.2025 Pachuca - Club América 0:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santos Laguna00000:000
    2Monterrey00000:000
    3Cruz Azul00000:000
    4Atlas00000:000
    5Atl. San Luis00000:000
    6Guadalajara Chivas00000:000
    7Necaxa00000:000
    8Pachuca00000:000
    9Toluca00000:000
    10Club America00000:000
    11Puebla00000:000
    12Tigres UANL00000:000
    13UNAM Pumas00000:000
    14Queretaro00000:000
    15Club Tijuana00000:000
    16Club Leon00000:000
    17Juarez00000:000
    18Mazatlan FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Club América?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Las Estrellas, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    usaUsaTUDN
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