Result
2:0
25/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Final
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (208/287) | 84% (415/496) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (208/287) | 84% (415/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (41/81) | 68% (92/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Martin H. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Luan ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 72', Juarez R. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 72', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 72', dos Santos J. ↓, Davila V. ↑,
- 76', Angulo J. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 78', Caceres S. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 0, Vega A. (Pen),
- 83', Alvarez K. ↓, Dilrosun J. ↑,
- 83', Borja C. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 90', Garcia L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vega A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vega A. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
33.5% | Draw
30.8% | Club América
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toluca's form might have worsened.Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toluca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toluca - Club América Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.25) |
3.08 ↓
(3.4) |
2.68 ↓
(2.95) |
5.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toluca - Club América?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toluca: Lopez P.
(Finger Injury)
Pereira F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in América: Lichnovsky I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in América: Rodriguez B.
(Groin Injury)
Salas P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Club América?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Toluca?
Club América has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Club América were as follows:
22.05.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
0:0
01.03.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
3:0
30.11.2024
Toluca
-
Club América
0:2
27.11.2024
Club América
-
Toluca
2:0
09.11.2024
Toluca
-
Club América
4:0
Latest results of Club América
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (8) | 2 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (4) | Necaxa (5) | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Club America (2) | Pachuca (7) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Club Leon (6) | 2 : 1, 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (4) | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Club America (2) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Club América?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Las Estrellas, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 Usa | TUDN |
