Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
2:1
15/02/2025 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Valle J. (Mex)
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.32
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
168
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
814
Offsides
04
Fouls
148
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
2411
Touches in the Opposition Box
1218
Passes
88% (547/622)82% (338/412)
Passes in the final third
76% (102/134)68% (63/93)
Crosses
20% (3/15)35% (6/17)
Tackles
50% (11/22)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
1319
Interceptions
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Vega A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Rey L. , Chavez Garcia M. ,
  • 57', Pulido A. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 57', Padilla Y. , Camberos H. ,
  • 60', Morales R. , Violante I. ,
  • 61', Angulo J. , Helinho ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Camberos H. , Alvarado R. (A),
  • 79', Romero F. , Herrera H. ,
  • 79', Gallardo J. , Lopez I. ,
  • 84', Vega A. , Briseno A. ,
  • 90', Mozo A. , Brizuela I. ,
  • 90', Alvarado R. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Camberos H. (Own goal),
  • 90+2', Luan 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
54.3%
Draw
24.3%
Chivas Guadalajara
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 23.7% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 23.1% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.71)
    3.9
    (3.98)
    4.4
    (4.45)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toluca won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Toluca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Toluca is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Guzman V. (Leg Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toluca: Escobar J. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Whalley O. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toluca won 2 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:23 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toluca won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    06.07.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 0:0
    11.05.2024 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 0:0
    08.05.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 1:0
    30.01.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 3:2
    01.10.2023 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    08.02.2025 Club León - Toluca 3:3
    01.02.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 1:0
    29.01.2025 UNAM - Toluca 1:1
    24.01.2025 Mazatlan - Toluca 2:1
    18.01.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 1:1
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santos Laguna00000:000
    2Monterrey00000:000
    3Cruz Azul00000:000
    4Atlas00000:000
    5Atl. San Luis00000:000
    6Guadalajara Chivas00000:000
    7Necaxa00000:000
    8Pachuca00000:000
    9Toluca00000:000
    10Club America00000:000
    11Puebla00000:000
    12Tigres UANL00000:000
    13UNAM Pumas00000:000
    14Queretaro00000:000
    15Club Tijuana00000:000
    16Club Leon00000:000
    17Juarez00000:000
    18Mazatlan FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN, Univision
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