Result
2:3
11/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:22, 0 - 1, Popov Y. (G), Mishin V. (A), Anisimov A. (A2)
- 08:12, 1 - 1, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Gunkin Y. (A), Adamyan A. (A2)
- 18:49, 1 - 2, Melnikov Y. (G), Fyodorov V. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:15, 2 - 2, Adamyan A. (G), Buzdyganov V. (A),
- 15:45, 2 - 3, Glazunov M. (G), Gornov S. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tolpar
45% | Draw
21.8% | Chaika
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tolpar - Chaika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.8) |
4.28 ↓
(4.6) |
2.81 ↑
(2.02) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.
- Tolpar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chaika's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 49:56. (average 2.5:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 3.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Chaika?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaika won against Tolpar?
Chaika has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Chaika were as follows:
10.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Chaika
5:2
18.08.2025
Chaika
-
Tolpar
4:2
25.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Chaika
4:7
11.12.2024
Chaika
-
Tolpar
2:1
25.12.2023
Tolpar
-
Chaika
4:3
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnaya Armiya | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 41:16 | 17 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Loko | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31:7 | 13 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33:20 | 12 |
| 5 | SKA-1946 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 38:21 | 12 |
| 6 | Din. St. Petersburg | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35:25 | 10 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 8 |
| 9 | Almaz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:19 | 8 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SKA-Akademiya | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:21 | 12 |
| 2 | Tayfun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19:19 | 8 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17:20 | 8 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:18 | 6 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 6 |
| 6 | Amurskie Tigry | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | 6 |
| 7 | Kapitan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:19 | 4 |
| 8 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:29 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlant | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:27 | 3 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15:52 | 2 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9:40 | 0 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 40:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Irbis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33:23 | 14 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Chaika | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27:25 | 12 |
| 5 | Avto | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29:29 | 10 |
| 6 | Mamonty Yugry | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Tolpar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31:23 | 9 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29:28 | 8 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:35 | 8 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Molot Perm | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33:27 | 12 |
| 2 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30:20 | 8 |
| 3 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34:31 | 8 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18:20 | 8 |
| 5 | Ladya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 6 |
| 6 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24:31 | 6 |
| 7 | Loko-76 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 5 |
| 8 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15:28 | 5 |
| 9 | Snezhnye Barsy | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20:54 | 4 |
| 10 | Tyumensky Legion | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:31 | 0 |
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