Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo
Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 26
Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.46
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
82% (367/446)76% (271/358)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.03
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
811
Passes
82% (367/446)76% (271/358)
Long passes
40% (17/42)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)70% (66/94)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.33
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
118
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.031.51
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Okuno K. 🟨,
  • 5', Ota S. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. , Henrique Trevisan (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Barada A. , Onose K. ,
  • 46', Tawaratsumida K. , Everton Galdino ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Scholz A. (Pen),
  • 57', Nakagawa T. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 61', Ono K. 🟨,
  • 64', Ota S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Suzuki Y. ,
  • 76', Oda Y. , Nitta R. ,
  • 76', Hiraoka T. , Ishii H. ,
  • 80', Kim Seung-Gyu 🟨,
  • 85', Tachi K. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 87', Nozawa L. , Oka T. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Suzuki A. , Onose K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
26.1%
Draw
27.3%
Tokyo
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 26.3% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 25.6% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (2.97)
    3.58
    (3.51)
    2.08
    (2.17)
    2.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
    • Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tokyo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
    • Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Muroya S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0
    03.11.2024 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    22.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1
    03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Tokyo
    10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2
    16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0
    05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers30184845:271858
    2Kyoto30167753:322155
    3Kashiwa Reysol301510543:291455
    4Vissel Kobe30166837:261154
    5Machida30156946:321451
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima30156935:211451
    7Kawasaki Frontale30139853:391448
    8Urawa Reds30138939:32747
    9Cerezo Osaka301110947:42543
    10Gamba Osaka301341339:44-543
    11Shimizu S-Pulse301091133:36-339
    12Okayama301161328:33-539
    13Avispa Fukuoka309101130:34-437
    14FC Tokyo301071332:42-1037
    15Nagoya Grampus30981338:43-535
    16Verdy30981320:31-1135
    17Yokohama F. Marinos30771628:38-1028
    18Yokohama FC30761720:36-1627
    19Shonan Bellmare30671727:53-2625
    20Albirex Niigata30481827:50-2320

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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