Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo
Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 26
Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.46
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
82% (367/446)76% (271/358)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.03
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
811
Passes
82% (367/446)76% (271/358)
Long passes
40% (17/42)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)70% (66/94)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.33
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
118
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.031.51
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Okuno K. 🟨,
  • 5', Ota S. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. , Henrique Trevisan (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Barada A. , Onose K. ,
  • 46', Tawaratsumida K. , Everton Galdino ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Scholz A. (Pen),
  • 57', Nakagawa T. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 61', Ono K. 🟨,
  • 64', Ota S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Suzuki Y. ,
  • 76', Oda Y. , Nitta R. ,
  • 76', Hiraoka T. , Ishii H. ,
  • 80', Kim Seung-Gyu 🟨,
  • 85', Tachi K. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 87', Nozawa L. , Oka T. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Suzuki A. , Onose K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
26.1%
Draw
27.3%
Tokyo
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 26.3% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 25.6% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (2.97)
    3.58
    (3.51)
    2.08
    (2.17)
    2.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
    • Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tokyo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
    • Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Muroya S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0
    03.11.2024 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    22.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1
    03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Tokyo
    10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2
    16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0
    05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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