Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 33
Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.94
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
85% (534/630)73% (259/357)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.47
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (534/630)73% (259/357)
Long passes
50% (30/60)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
78% (162/208)63% (69/110)
Crosses
33% (6/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.87
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1310
Tackles
44% (4/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
2026
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.470.98
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. , Yoshida Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
  • 61', Marcos Guilherme , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 61', Endo K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 67', Yumiba M. , Uno Z. ,
  • 67', Kozuka K. , Matsuzaki K. ,
  • 73', Takahashi T. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Sato K. , Tawaratsumida K. (A),
  • 84', Yoshida Y. , Takagi S. ,
  • 84', Inui T. , Yajima S. ,
  • 87', Sato K. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 87', Morishige M. , Oka T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
33.6%
Draw
28.4%
Tokyo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.2% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.5% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.72)
    3.32
    (3.39)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tokyo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Tokyo
    23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1
    15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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