Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga
Result
0:4
24/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 27
Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.53
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
84% (437/521)62% (132/212)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.113.54
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
188
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
4819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
97
Passes
84% (437/521)62% (132/212)
Long passes
51% (23/45)22% (11/50)
Passes in final third
69% (104/151)59% (45/76)
Crosses
40% (16/40)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.36
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
79
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6240
Clearances
2250
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
3.542.11
Goals prevented
-0.461.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Rafael Elias (Pen),
  • 13', 0 - 2, Rafael Elias (Pen),
  • 30', Sato K. 🟨,
  • 31', Koizumi K. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 3, Suzuki Y. , Hirato T. (A),
  • 45+4', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Matsuda T. 🟨,
  • 63', Hara T. , Yamada F. ,
  • 64', Nakagawa T. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 64', Nozawa L. , Marcos Guilherme ,
  • 71', Takeda S. , Nakano R. ,
  • 71', Fukuda S. , Sugai H. ,
  • 77', Koizumi K. , Higashi K. ,
  • 81', 0 - 4, Rafael Elias ,
  • 84', Rafael Elias , Okugawa M. ,
  • 84', Matsuda T. , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 84', Tawaratsumida K. , Kominato T. ,
  • 84', Hashimoto K. , Tokiwa K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
26%
Draw
29%
Kyoto Sanga
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 27.3% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 28.2% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo's form might have worsened.
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoto Sanga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.66
    (2.44)
    4
    (3.51)
    2.47
    (2.86)
    -13%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Kyoto will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 54.4%89.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Forearm injury) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Nozawa L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Appiah Tawiah H. (Injury) Marco Tulio (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    24.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    03.05.2024 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    12.08.2023 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 2:0
    18.06.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 1:3
    Latest results of Tokyo
    16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2
    10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2
    16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers30184845:271858
    2Kyoto30167753:322155
    3Kashiwa Reysol301510543:291455
    4Vissel Kobe30166837:261154
    5Machida30156946:321451
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima30156935:211451
    7Kawasaki Frontale30139853:391448
    8Urawa Reds30138939:32747
    9Cerezo Osaka301110947:42543
    10Gamba Osaka301341339:44-543
    11Shimizu S-Pulse301091133:36-339
    12Okayama301161328:33-539
    13Avispa Fukuoka309101130:34-437
    14FC Tokyo301071332:42-1037
    15Nagoya Grampus30981338:43-535
    16Verdy30981320:31-1135
    17Yokohama F. Marinos30771628:38-1028
    18Yokohama FC30761720:36-1627
    19Shonan Bellmare30671727:53-2625
    20Albirex Niigata30481827:50-2320

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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