Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Tokyo
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Albirex Niigata - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.212.58
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Long passes
59% (30/51)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
75% (72/96)75% (109/146)
Crosses
36% (8/22)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.85
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
97
Tackles
75% (15/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.581.21
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan , Sato K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Koizumi K. , Doi K. (A),
  • 58', Ono Y. , Kasai K. ,
  • 58', Komi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 59', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ,
  • 66', Akiyama H. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 67', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Ko T. , Shirai K. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan , Shirai K. (A),
  • 85', Okumura J. , Miguel ,
  • 85', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 85', Henrique Trevisan , Oka T. ,
  • 86', Hashimoto K. , Tokiwa K. ,
  • 86', Tawaratsumida K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 90+6', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
Tokyo
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.9% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.13)
    3.16
    (3.37)
    3.1
    (3.39)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Tokyo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Niigata could have a small edge in this match.
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Baek I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Tokyo were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Tokyo - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    27.04.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 1:3
    11.11.2023 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 0:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Tokyo
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    16.04.2025 Omiya Ardija - Tokyo 1:3
    11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers15101424:111331
    2Kashiwa Reysol1476116:10627
    3Kyoto1683523:20327
    4Urawa Reds1574417:12525
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1472513:11223
    6Gamba Osaka1572619:20-123
    7Shimizu S-Pulse1563619:17221
    8Vissel Kobe1363413:11221
    9Avispa Fukuoka1563614:15-121
    10Machida1562715:16-120
    11Verdy1555511:14-320
    12Cerezo Osaka1554623:22119
    13Okayama1554611:11019
    14Kawasaki Frontale1246219:11818
    15Shonan Bellmare1553710:19-918
    16FC Tokyo1444614:17-316
    17Nagoya Grampus1543817:23-615
    18Albirex Niigata1426615:20-512
    19Yokohama FC143388:15-712
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1215611:17-68

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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