Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Tokyo
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Albirex Niigata - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.212.58
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Long passes
59% (30/51)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
75% (72/96)75% (109/146)
Crosses
36% (8/22)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.85
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
97
Tackles
75% (15/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.581.21
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan , Sato K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Koizumi K. , Doi K. (A),
  • 58', Ono Y. , Kasai K. ,
  • 58', Komi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 59', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ,
  • 66', Akiyama H. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 67', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Ko T. , Shirai K. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan , Shirai K. (A),
  • 85', Okumura J. , Miguel ,
  • 85', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 85', Henrique Trevisan , Oka T. ,
  • 86', Hashimoto K. , Tokiwa K. ,
  • 86', Tawaratsumida K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 90+6', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
Tokyo
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.9% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.13)
    3.16
    (3.37)
    3.1
    (3.39)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Niigata could have a small edge in this match.
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Baek I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Tokyo were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Tokyo - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    27.04.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 1:3
    11.11.2023 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 0:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Tokyo
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    16.04.2025 Omiya Ardija - Tokyo 1:3
    11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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