Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Tokyo
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Albirex Niigata - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.212.58
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Long passes
59% (30/51)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
75% (72/96)75% (109/146)
Crosses
36% (8/22)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.85
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
97
Tackles
75% (15/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.581.21
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan , Sato K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Koizumi K. , Doi K. (A),
  • 58', Ono Y. , Kasai K. ,
  • 58', Komi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 59', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ,
  • 66', Akiyama H. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 67', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Ko T. , Shirai K. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan , Shirai K. (A),
  • 85', Okumura J. , Miguel ,
  • 85', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 85', Henrique Trevisan , Oka T. ,
  • 86', Hashimoto K. , Tokiwa K. ,
  • 86', Tawaratsumida K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 90+6', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
Tokyo
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.9% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.13)
    3.16
    (3.37)
    3.1
    (3.39)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Tokyo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Niigata could have a small edge in this match.
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Baek I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Tokyo were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Tokyo - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    27.04.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 1:3
    11.11.2023 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 0:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Tokyo
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    16.04.2025 Omiya Ardija - Tokyo 1:3
    11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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