Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

: J1 League - Round 25

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.33	0.61
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
15	4
Passes
80% (302/377)	83% (328/397)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.65	0.62
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
2	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
15	4
Touches in opposition box
15	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
14	17
Passes
80% (302/377)	83% (328/397)
Long passes
38% (17/45)	44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
69% (91/131)	73% (89/122)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	0.53
Throw-ins
21	22
Fouls
19	15
Tackles
75% (12/16)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
53	53
Clearances
23	33
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
0.62	0.65
Goals prevented
0.62	-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Matsubara K. 🟨,
37', Suzuki T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tanimura K. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
46', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
54', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Saito K. (A),
67', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
67', Amano J. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
68', Fukuda Y. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
68', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
73', Watanabe K. 🟨,
81', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
82', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
87', Matsubara K. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
90', Shirai R. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
90+1', Saito K. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
90+3', Elber ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
40.6%

Draw
29.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

26.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	3.16 ↓ (3.47)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)	6.3% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home match between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Tokyo Verdy?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

05.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy 0:0

29.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy 1:2

25.02.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

30.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Liverpool 1:3 ✺

20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:1 ✺

28.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan