Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

: J1 League - Round 27

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.05
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	5
Passes
80% (390/485)	71% (237/335)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	1.68
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
8	3
Shots inside the Box
12	10
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
38	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
80% (390/485)	71% (237/335)
Long passes
27% (12/44)	47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
73% (99/136)	52% (56/107)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.90
Throw-ins
26	22
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
67% (6/9)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
51	64
Clearances
31	35
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.68	2.14
Goals prevented
-1.32	2.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ⚽,
12', Someno I. 🟨,
28', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Germain V. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
60', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kawabe H. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Nakamura S. ⚽, Germain R. (A),
66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
77', Someno I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
77', Saito K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
77', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
80', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
83', 0 - 3, Arai N. ⚽,
86', Inoue R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
87', Nakamura S. ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
87', Arai N. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
21.3%

Draw
28.4%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

25.2%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)	3.4% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hiroshima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Sasaki S. (Red Card)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Tokyo Verdy?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

17.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 2:1

07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1

15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 4:1

22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:3

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

16.08.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

20.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan, NHK BS1