Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy
Result
0:1
29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 13
Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.36
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
69% (246/354)78% (340/435)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.39
Total shots
158
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
69% (246/354)78% (340/435)
Long passes
29% (18/63)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
57% (85/149)62% (52/84)
Crosses
28% (7/25)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.00
Throw-ins
3827
Fouls
813
Tackles
83% (10/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1737
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.390.10
Goals prevented
0.390.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Tabei R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', 0 - 1, Tsunashima Y. , Fukuda Y. (A),
  • 67', Yamami H. , Saito K. ,
  • 69', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 69', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 75', Fukuda Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 75', Arai Y. , Onaga H. ,
  • 78', Esaka A. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 78', Matsumoto M. , Sato R. ,
  • 82', Kimura Y. , Someno I. ,
  • 82', Morita K. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 87', Lucao , Gleyson ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
35.1%
Draw
33.9%
Tokyo Verdy
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 32.2% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 33.4% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.62)
    2.77
    (2.92)
    3.04
    (2.94)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Okayama won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:21 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 2:3
    11.06.2023 Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy 1:2
    23.10.2022 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 2:0
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto26146643:301348
    2Kashima Antlers26153838:251348
    3Kashiwa Reysol26138536:251147
    4Machida26144839:251446
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima26144830:181246
    6Vissel Kobe26144834:25946
    7Urawa Reds26128636:261044
    8Kawasaki Frontale26109741:32939
    9Cerezo Osaka26107940:37337
    10Okayama261061025:23236
    11Avispa Fukuoka2699827:26136
    12Gamba Osaka261041229:35-634
    13Shimizu S-Pulse26871130:35-531
    14Verdy26871116:25-931
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus26771230:37-728
    17Shonan Bellmare26671322:41-1925
    18Yokohama F. Marinos26661426:34-824
    19Yokohama FC26641616:32-1622
    20Albirex Niigata26481426:45-1920

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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