Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy
Result
0:1
29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 13
Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.36
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
69% (246/354)78% (340/435)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.39
Total shots
158
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
69% (246/354)78% (340/435)
Long passes
29% (18/63)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
57% (85/149)62% (52/84)
Crosses
28% (7/25)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.00
Throw-ins
3827
Fouls
813
Tackles
83% (10/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1737
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.390.10
Goals prevented
0.390.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Tabei R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', 0 - 1, Tsunashima Y. , Fukuda Y. (A),
  • 67', Yamami H. , Saito K. ,
  • 69', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 69', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 75', Fukuda Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 75', Arai Y. , Onaga H. ,
  • 78', Esaka A. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 78', Matsumoto M. , Sato R. ,
  • 82', Kimura Y. , Someno I. ,
  • 82', Morita K. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 87', Lucao , Gleyson ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
35.1%
Draw
33.9%
Tokyo Verdy
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 32.2% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 33.4% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.62)
    2.77
    (2.92)
    3.04
    (2.94)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Okayama won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:21 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 2:3
    11.06.2023 Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy 1:2
    23.10.2022 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 2:0
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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