Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽,
- 56', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Takahashi S. ⚽,
- 66', Yamamoto K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 66', Yamamoto R. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 68', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
- 76', Nakano K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
- 76', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 78', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
- 78', Yasunaga R. 🟨,
- 82', Omori H. 🟨,
- 85', Kawana R. 🟨,
- 89', Yasunaga R. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 89', Sugita H. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
- 90+1', Kawana R. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
33% | Draw
30.1% | Tochigi
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.52) |
3.06 ↑
(3.01) |
2.44 ↓
(2.63) |
8.8%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0.
- In recent matches, Matsumoto Yamaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tochigi is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Tochigi?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi were as follows:
28.06.2025
Tochigi
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
3:1
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 41:17 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 54:31 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 57:33 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Osaka | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 53 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 48 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32:29 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 32:30 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Gifu | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 41 |
| 11 | Fukushima Utd | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 49:60 | -11 | 41 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 31:35 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Sagamihara | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 30:42 | -12 | 37 |
| 14 | Yamaga | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38:54 | -16 | 34 |
| 17 | Nagano | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 | Kamatamare | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 28 |
| 19 | Kusatsu | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 33:45 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
