Derry City vs Tobol Kostanay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Derry City - Tobol Kostanay
Result
1:1 penalties
17/08/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
  • Referee: Kralovic P. (Svk)
Derry City - Tobol Kostanay - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Derry City
46.9%
Draw
28.4%
Tobol Kostanay
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 27.9% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 27.6% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.
  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derry City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Derry City - Tobol Kostanay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.49)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    3.86
    (2.65)
    6.3%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Derry City - Tobol Kostanay?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Derry City will win! (17 of 20 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Derry is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tobol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derry will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Derry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
    10.08.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Derry City 1:0
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    13.08.2023 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    06.08.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Kaisar 0:2
    03.08.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Basel 1:2
    27.07.2023 Basel - Tobol Kostanay 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Gent (17)Betis (15)1 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Vitoria Guimaraes (2)Bye
    3TSC (24)Jagiellonia (9)1 : 3, 1 : 3
    4Cercle Brugge KSV (8)Bye
    5Celje (21)APOEL (11)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    6Lugano (6)Bye
    7Vikingur Reykjavik (19)Panathinaikos (13)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    8Fiorentina (3)Bye
    9FC Copenhagen (18)Heidenheim (16)3 : 1, 1 : 2
    10Chelsea (1)Bye
    11Molde (23)Shamrock Rovers (10)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    12Legia (7)Bye
    13Omonia (22)Pafos (12)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    14Djurgarden (5)Bye
    15Borac Banja Luka (20)O. Ljubljana (14)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    16SK Rapid (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Betis (15)Vitoria Guimaraes (2)4 : 0, 2 : 2
    2Jagiellonia (9)Cercle Brugge KSV (8)0 : 2, 3 : 0
    3Celje (21)Lugano (6)5 : 5, 1 : 0
    4Panathinaikos (13)Fiorentina (3)1 : 3, 3 : 2
    5FC Copenhagen (18)Chelsea (1)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    6Molde (23)Legia (7)0 : 2, 3 : 2
    7Pafos (12)Djurgarden (5)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    8Borac Banja Luka (20)SK Rapid (4)1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Betis (15)Jagiellonia (9)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2Celje (21)Fiorentina (3)2 : 2, 1 : 2
    3Chelsea (1)Legia (7)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    4Djurgarden (5)SK Rapid (4)4 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Betis (15)Fiorentina (3)2 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Chelsea (1)Djurgarden (5)1 : 0, 4 : 1

    Final
    1Betis (15)Chelsea (1)
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