Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
56.5%
Draw
23.6%
Tlaxcala
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 22.5% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 21.4% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.58)
    3.91
    (4.1)
    4.62
    (4.88)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
    • Tepatitlán is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tlaxcala's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tepatitlán is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Tepatitlán will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:2
    10.08.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala 0:0
    04.04.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala 1:1
    13.10.2023 Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos 0:1
    14.04.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala 0:0
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    13.09.2025 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 1:0
    16.08.2025 Irapuato - Tlaxcala 3:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun651011:01116
    2Tampico Madero64209:5414
    3Tepatitlan de Morelos734012:4813
    4Atl. Morelia632111:10111
    5Irapuato732211:10111
    6Atlante631215:8710
    7Tapatio731311:8310
    8Leones Negros723212:1119
    9Zacatecas Mineros62318:719
    10Atletico La Paz622211:1108
    11Tlaxcala72236:12-68
    12Venados712412:18-65
    13Correcaminos71248:15-75
    14Dorados de Sinaloa71063:13-103
    15Alebrijes Oaxaca60158:16-81

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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