Timofey Skatov vs Akira Santillan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan
Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
56
1st Serve Percentage
55%64%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)80% (36/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
20% (9/45)35% (12/34)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (14/25)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
56% (35/62)68% (46/68)
Return Points Won
32% (22/68)44% (27/62)
Total Points Won
44% (57/130)56% (73/130)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Timofey Skatov
59.2%
Akira Santillan
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.
  • Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akira Santillan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.84)

    2.32
    (1.85)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Skatov is ranked ATP: 233. Santillan is ranked ATP: 456.
    • Skatov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santillan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Santillan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Santillan will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Timofey Skatov
    Latest results of Akira Santillan
    19.09.2025 Petr Bar-Biryukov - Akira Santillan Bar Biryukov P. walkover
    12.09.2025 Akira Santillan - Kuan-Yi Lee Santillan A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.
    3Tomic B.Harris B.
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)
    5Smith C.Droguet T.
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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