Result
0:4
20/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 1.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
87% (423/487) | 78% (260/332) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 1.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.23 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
12 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 21 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
87% (423/487) | 78% (260/332) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (27/47) | 48% (31/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (104/147) | 60% (42/70) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (2/18) | 45% (9/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.44 | 0.86 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 38 |
Clearances Total |
---|
13 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 0.23 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.98 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Boya F. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Castaneda K. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 42', Sordo R. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 42', Villalba F. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Boya F. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 3, Zuniga J. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 60', Dajome C. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
- 75', Mora G. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 75', Arciga R. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 75', Boya F. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
- 75', Castaneda K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 79', Lopez A. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
- 80', Munoz S. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
- 87', Gomez A. ↓, Madrigal F. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 4, Zuniga J. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 90+3', Lozano C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna 37.4% | Draw 25.4% | Tijuana 37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos Laguna's form might have worsened.Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos Laguna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos Laguna - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↑ (2.01) |
3.76 ↑ (3.51) |
2.53 ↓ (3.57) |
5.9% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Tijuana will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos Laguna won 3.
- Santos Laguna has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Tijuana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Aquino P.
(Injury)
Macias J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Amione B.
(Knee Injury)
Medina D.
(Injury)
Naveda S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Alvarez E.
(Inactive)
Gomez A.
(Injury)
Inzunza R.
(Leg Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Tijuana to win the game is with odds 2.58.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:25 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:10 (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Tijuana?
Santos Laguna has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Santos Laguna?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Tijuana were as follows:
18.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
3:1
15.03.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
04.10.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
2:1
12.03.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
3:2
25.08.2022
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
0:2
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Latest results of Tijuana
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (8) | 2 : 1, 2 : 3 |
2 | Tigres UANL (4) | Necaxa (5) | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
3 | Club America (2) | Pachuca (7) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Club Leon (6) | 2 : 1, 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (4) | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
2 | Club America (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final1 | Toluca (1) | Club America (2) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN |