Santos Laguna vs Tijuana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Santos Laguna - Tijuana
Result
1:0
24/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
Santos Laguna - Tijuana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.10
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
78% (224/288)83% (278/336)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.19
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
612
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2228
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (224/288)83% (278/336)
Long passes
41% (19/46)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
70% (51/73)64% (54/84)
Crosses
25% (4/16)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.93
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1416
Tackles
65% (11/17)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5259
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.192.44
Goals prevented
0.191.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Tona I. 🟨,
  • 43', Vega A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Preciado A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vega A. , Ortiz Orozco P. N. ,
  • 46', Tona I. , Escamilla K. ,
  • 50', Amione B. 🟨,
  • 57', Carrillo J. , Barticciotto B. ,
  • 57', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. , Lopez A. ,
  • 65', El Ghezouani M. , Blanco D. ,
  • 65', Castaneda K. , Bullaude E. ,
  • 65', Arciga R. , Nicholson S. ,
  • 69', Guemez J. 🟨,
  • 72', Amione B. , Echeverria E. ,
  • 83', Sordo R. , Dajome C. ,
  • 84', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
  • 85', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Inzunza R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Dajome C. ,
  • 90+6', Dajome C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos Laguna
28.2%
Draw
24.6%
Tijuana
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 25.2% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 25.3% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos Laguna's form might have worsened.
  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos Laguna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santos Laguna - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.57)
    3.85
    (3.6)
    2.03
    (2.3)
    5.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tijuana will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
    • Santos Laguna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tijuana might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Santos Laguna: Jimenez T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Tijuana were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Santos Laguna - Tijuana 0:4
    18.08.2024 Tijuana - Santos Laguna 3:1
    15.03.2024 Tijuana - Santos Laguna 2:2
    04.10.2023 Santos Laguna - Tijuana 2:1
    12.03.2023 Santos Laguna - Tijuana 3:2
    Latest results of Santos Laguna
    Latest results of Tijuana
    19.09.2025 Tijuana - Club León 5:0
    16.09.2025 San Diego - Tijuana 4:2
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    2Toluca1071228:131522
    3Monterrey1071222:17522
    4Club America1063119:10921
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    7Juarez1043313:12115
    8Pachuca1042413:12114
    9UNAM Pumas1034313:13013
    10Club Leon1033410:16-612
    11Guadalajara Chivas1032514:17-311
    12Atl. San Luis1031615:16-110
    13Santos Laguna1031613:17-410
    14Necaxa102359:17-89
    15Mazatlan FC1015412:17-58
    16Queretaro1022611:18-78
    17Atlas1014515:24-97
    18Puebla101279:24-155

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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